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Analysis-China model gains appeal in Vietnam as police expand power

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 13, 2026

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· Last updated: April 14, 2026

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Analysis-China model gains appeal in Vietnam as police expand power
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By Francesco Guarascio HANOI, April 13 (Reuters) - Vietnam is increasingly edging closer to China's model of governance, tightening state control while embracing Chinese technology and regulation as

China model gains appeal in Vietnam as police expand power

Vietnam's Shift Toward Chinese Governance and Influence

By Francesco Guarascio

HANOI, April 13 (Reuters) - Vietnam is increasingly edging closer to China's model of governance, tightening state control while embracing Chinese technology and regulation as its most powerful leader nL6N40Q04Y in decades heads to Beijing this week, according to internal documents, public policy plans and sources.

The two Communist neighbours have swung between conflict and cooperation over centuries. Now, Vietnam is leaning more openly toward Beijing, as China-friendly security figures rise in Hanoi under party chief To Lam, a former public security boss.

Lam will meet China's leader Xi Jinping on Wednesday on his first overseas trip since becoming state president on April 7, a move that formally unites two of Vietnam's most powerful roles, echoing Xi's own concentration of authority and breaking from Vietnam's traditional emphasis on collective leadership.

"Vietnam-China relations have entered a new stage, marked by higher political trust, more substantive defence and security cooperation, deeper and more practical cooperation across sectors," Lam said in a joint statement with Xi after they last met in April 2025.

This week's visit is expected to yield dozens of cooperation agreements, people briefed on the plans said. While such documents are often non-binding, the relationship is becoming more tangible: China's exports to Vietnam are at record highs https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/how-china-inc-is-marching-into-vietnam-amid-us-tariffs-2025-12-10/, and Chinese investment in manufacturing south of the border is booming.

The people spoke on condition of anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the topic.

Vietnam is still hedging geopolitically, analysts say, keeping doors open to Washington and others. But at home, it is moving closer to China's governance model - particularly control-driven regulation despite Western misgivings, underscoring how China's influence is deepening as Lam reshapes the state.

Vietnam has "a dual approach of actively learning from the Chinese model while selectively resisting its influence," said Nguyen Khac Giang, a visiting fellow at Singapore's ISEAS Yusof Ishak Institute.

Alexander Vuving of the Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies in the U.S., said that closer ties with China without adequate guardrails "will have a negative impact not only on Vietnam's security, prosperity, and autonomy, but also on its relations with the U.S. and the West." 

Vietnam's foreign ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Technology and State Control

TECH AND CONTROL

Embracing Chinese Technology

Technology has emerged as one of the clearest markers of warming ties. 

Vietnam has dropped earlier concerns about the use of Chinese equipment in its 5G network nL6N3X40OM, while the country's largest internet provider FPT announced investments in an undersea cable https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/inside-us-push-steer-vietnams-subsea-cable-plans-away-china-2024-09-17/ to be built by a Chinese vendor that the U.S. considers linked to sanctioned telecom giant Huawei. A telecom company under Vietnam's public security ministry is in talks https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/vietnam-eyes-new-5g-deals-with-chinese-tech-firms-sources-say-despite-us-2026-03-06/ with Chinese companies for additional 5G deals.

Chinese firms are simultaneously exploring investments in Vietnamese data centres, a strategic asset, according to people familiar with the discussions.

"Chinese interest in Vietnam's data-centre market has increased noticeably over the past 18-24 months," said Mickael Driol, head of investment advisory firm Mekong Partners. He said much of that is driven by manufacturers who moved operations to Vietnam from China.

Data Regulation and Surveillance

Hanoi is prioritising state control in data regulation, similar to China. Western tech companies and the U.S. government have repeatedly raised concerns https://www.reuters.com/technology/us-tech-firms-warn-vietnams-planned-law-hamper-data-centres-social-media-2024-11-04/ over data protection rules drafted by Vietnam's security ministry that limit cross-border data transfers.  

Draft documents seen by Reuters show Vietnam plans to establish state-run data-trading exchanges overseen by the public security ministry - mirroring China's centralised data model and expanding the state's ability to deploy information for surveillance and strategic goals. In Western markets, such platforms are typically privately run. 

Vietnam is also expanding a national electronic identification system, enabling authorities to identify individuals through AI camera networks that are being rolled out nationwide - another parallel with China's surveillance architecture.

"The police's rising power (in Vietnam) may partly explain a growing interest in Chinese-style social control tactics," said Giang.

Economic Modelling and Influence

MODELLING CHINA'S ECONOMY

Adopting China-Style Economic Policies

Unencumbered by public opinion that has grown less critical https://www.reuters.com/world/china/menacing-cool-how-views-china-have-shifted-vietnam-2025-10-14/ of China, the Vietnamese Communist Party is also advancing a more China-style economic model centred on subsidies https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/vietnams-push-chip-to-ship-conglomerates-raises-red-flags-2025-11-05/, public investment and large infrastructure projects, sometimes in direct cooperation with Beijing on sensitive projects including high-speed rail links https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/vietnam-use-chinese-loans-83-billion-railway-linking-both-countries-2025-02-13/. 

Media Influence and Public Perception

The shift has been reinforced by TikTok's popularity in Vietnam, where positive narratives about China often dominate, and by Hanoi's increasingly muted criticism of Beijing's actions in the disputed South China Sea.

Vietnam remains more open than China to foreign investors and still

Key Takeaways

  • To Lâm now holds both party chief and state president roles, breaking Vietnam’s collective leadership tradition and mirroring Xi Jinping’s centralized authority model. (sources: AP, Washington Post)
  • Vietnam is increasingly integrating Chinese technology into its infrastructure, including Chinese 5G and undersea cable projects, signaling deeper CS-style control oversight. (sources: Reuters via Communications Today, Reuters undersea cable reporting)
  • Despite the shift toward Beijing, Vietnam maintains strategic hedging—pursuing ties with the U.S. and others—reflecting the longstanding “bamboo diplomacy” of cooperation and resistance. (sources: East Asia Forum, Foreign Policy)

Frequently Asked Questions

How is Vietnam's governance model aligning with China's?
Vietnam is increasing state control, tightening regulation, and embracing Chinese technology, following elements of China's governance approach.
Who is leading the shift towards closer China-Vietnam relations?
Party chief and newly-appointed state president To Lam is spearheading the move towards closer alignment with China.
What role is Chinese technology playing in Vietnam's expansion of state power?
Vietnam is adopting Chinese technology in areas such as its 5G network and data center investments, enhancing state control capabilities.
Is Vietnam's relationship with the West affected by its closer ties to China?
Analysts suggest that deepening ties with China could alter Vietnam’s relations with the U.S. and Western nations, though Vietnam continues to hedge geopolitically.
What economic impacts are visible from Vietnam’s closer cooperation with China?
China’s exports to Vietnam are at record highs, and Chinese investments in southern Vietnamese manufacturing and technology sectors are booming.

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