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Analysts cut Russia's economic growth forecast for 2026: Reuters poll

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 31, 2026

1 min read

· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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Analysts cut Russia's economic growth forecast for 2026: Reuters poll
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MOSCOW, March 31 (Reuters) - The Russian economy will grow by 0.8% this year, down from a forecast of 1% a month ago, according to a Reuters poll of 16 analysts on Tuesday, echoing an earlier

Analysts Lower Russia's Economic Growth Forecast for 2026: Reuters Survey

Revised Economic Outlook for Russia

Current Year Growth Projections

MOSCOW, March 31 (Reuters) - The Russian economy will grow by 0.8% this year, down from a forecast of 1% a month ago, according to a Reuters poll of 16 analysts on Tuesday, echoing an earlier government announcement that the official forecast could be downgraded.

2026 Forecast and Government Statements

Official 2026 Growth Forecast

The government forecasts economic growth of 1.3% in 2026, but Economy Minister Maxim Reshetnikov warned last week that this forecast could be revised downward in April after a "tough" first half of the year.

Comments from Officials

(Reporting by Elena Fabrichnaya; Writing by Gleb Bryanski)

Key Takeaways

  • Reuters poll trims 2026 GDP growth forecast to 0.8%, down from 1.0% previously
  • IMF’s latest outlook also projects 0.8% growth for Russia in 2026, below government’s 1.3% target (themoscowtimes.com)
  • Economy Minister Reshetnikov cautions that first‑half 2026 will be ‘tough’ and that recovery may only begin in late 2026 or 2027 (interfax.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Who conducted the poll on Russia's economic outlook?
The poll was conducted by Reuters and included 16 analysts.

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