Banking

BNP Paribas brings forward BoE rate hike call to Feb

Published by maria gbaf

Posted on January 27, 2022

1 min read

· Last updated: January 28, 2026

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BNP Paribas Expects BoE Rate Hike in February

LONDON (Reuters) – BNP Paribas now expects the the Bank of England to raise UK interest rate hikes by 0.25% next month, rather than wait until May as previously forecast.

“With the Covid backdrop improving and inflation continuing to surprise to the upside, we now expect the Bank of England to raise interest rates by 0.25% on 3 February, versus our prior expectation of a May hike,” the bank‘s chief European economist Paul Hollingsworth said in a research note on Wednesday.

In doing so, the BoE would kick start the process of balance sheet reduction. Hollingsworth added, however, that the BoE was still likely to deliver a more gradual pace of rate hikes than is currently priced into markets.

(Reporting by Marc Jones; Editing by Saikat Chatterjee)

Key Takeaways

  • BNP Paribas forecasts a BoE rate hike in February.
  • The expected increase is 0.25%, earlier than May.
  • Improving Covid backdrop and rising inflation are factors.
  • BoE may start balance sheet reduction.
  • Rate hikes could be more gradual than market expectations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main topic?
The article discusses BNP Paribas' forecast for an earlier Bank of England interest rate hike in February.
Why does BNP Paribas expect a rate hike?
The expectation is due to improving Covid conditions and inflation rising more than anticipated.
What impact might the rate hike have?
The rate hike may start the process of balance sheet reduction and could be more gradual than market pricing.

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