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Brazil's Lula leads right-wing rivals ahead of 2026 election, poll shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on January 14, 2026

1 min read

· Last updated: January 19, 2026

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Brazil's Lula leads right-wing rivals ahead of 2026 election, poll shows
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SAO PAULO, Jan 14 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is leading Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and Sao Paulo Governor Tarcisio de Freitas in voting intentions for this year's election

Lula Outpaces Right-Wing Contenders in Brazil's 2026 Election Poll

Lula's Position in the Upcoming Election

SAO PAULO, Jan 14 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is leading Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and Sao Paulo Governor Tarcisio de Freitas in voting intentions for this year's election, a Quaest poll commissioned by brokerage Genial showed on Wednesday.

* In a first round scenario, Lula would have 36% of thevote, against Flavio Bolsonaro's 23% and Freitas's 9%. * Lula would beat Flavio Bolsonaro 45%-38% in a run-off,compared with 46%-36% in a December poll. * The president would defeat Freitas 44%-39% in a potentialsecond round, compared with 45%-35% in the previous poll. * Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between January 8-11. Thepoll has a margin of error of 2 percentage points in eitherdirection.

Key Competitors

(Reporting by Gabriel Araujo and Eduardo Simoes; Writing by Isabel Teles)

Key Takeaways

  • Lula leads with 36% in the first round of voting intentions.
  • Flavio Bolsonaro follows with 23%, and Freitas with 9%.
  • Lula would beat Bolsonaro 45%-38% in a run-off.
  • Lula would defeat Freitas 44%-39% in a second round.
  • The poll surveyed 2,004 people with a 2% margin of error.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a margin of error?
The margin of error is a statistical term that indicates the amount of random sampling error in a survey's results, reflecting the range within which the true value is expected to lie.

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