Finance

Currencies tread water as investors brace for Trump's Iran address

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 2, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: April 2, 2026

Add as preferred source on Google
Currencies tread water as investors brace for Trump's Iran address
Global Banking & Finance Awards 2026 — Call for Entries

By Jiaxing Li HONG KONG, April 2 (Reuters) - Major currencies held steady in thin trading on Thursday, as investors awaited a high-stakes televised address from U.S. President Donald Trump that is

Dollar rises against peers on renewed concerns about Middle East conflict

Market Reactions to Middle East Tensions

By Chibuike Oguh

Dollar Strengthens Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty

NEW YORK, April 2 (Reuters) - The dollar rose sharply from two straight sessions of losses on Thursday after U.S. President Donald Trump's speech on Iran undermined market expectations of a swift end to the conflict, renewing a bid for safe-haven assets.

Trump vowed more aggressive strikes on Iran in the next two to three weeks during his televised speech on Wednesday, offering no concrete timeline to open the Strait of Hormuz or end a war that has rattled investors and roiled markets. 

Iran's military responded with a warning for the U.S. and Israel of "more crushing, broader and more destructive" attacks in store.

Safe-Haven Currencies and Dollar Performance

The U.S. dollar rose, even against other safe-haven currencies including the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen.

The dollar strengthened 0.6% to 0.799 against the Swiss franc.

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar was up 0.5% at 159.57, nearing the psychologically important 160 level that sparks investor worries of intervention by Japanese authorities.

Analyst Insights on Market Sentiment

"In the last couple of days there was a bit of optimism that the war was going to end soon and President Trump's address to the nation yesterday sort of undermined that hope," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex in New York.

"There's nothing new that he said; it's just that he didn't provide any kind of morsels to feed the hope. I think this is the only fundamental right now that matters. If you think the war is going to end soon, you buy risk. If you think that it's not going to end soon, you sell risk."

Impact on Other Major Currencies

The euro fell 0.45% to $1.1536 while sterling slid 0.63% to $1.3222, with both giving up some recent gains.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, climbed 0.46% to 100.02.

"The tone of President Trump’s address appears to have added to market concerns, as he spoke of an intensification of strikes over the next two to three weeks and threatened the possibility of hitting Iran’s power plants if a deal was not reached. The market reaction has been swift, delivering a near full reversal of most G10 currencies’ week-to-date gains," Scotiabank analysts led by Shaun Osborne said in an investor note.

Commodities and Other Markets Respond

Oil Prices Surge

Brent crude futures rose 7.78% to settle at $109.03 per barrel, after Trump's address sparked fresh concerns about sustained disruption. [MKTS/GLOB]

Bond Yields and Economic Data

INVESTORS EYE U.S. JOBS REPORT

Trump's comments had initially sent U.S. Treasury yields higher but they have since pared those gains. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell 1.6 basis points to 4.305%.

Upcoming U.S. Jobs Report

Investors are also eyeing Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls report for economic signals and a possible path to Federal Reserve interest rates. The market is looking for a 60,000 rise in jobs for March, according to the median estimate of economists polled by Reuters.

Performance of Other Currencies and Cryptocurrencies

The Australian dollar  weakened 0.3% versus the greenback to $0.6904. The euro strengthened 0.12% against the Swiss franc to 0.921.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell 1.69% to $67,023.77. Ethereum declined 3.98% to $2,058.25.

(Reporting by Chibuike Oguh in New York; additional reporting by Jiaxing Li in Hong Kong and Harry Robertson in London; Editing by Andrew Heavens)

Key Takeaways

  • Markets are cautious ahead of Trump's 9 p.m. EDT national address, which could signal a U.S. military pullback within 2–3 weeks and reshape global risk sentiment. Investors remain quietly optimistic but alert to mixed signals. (apnews.com)
  • Major currencies and commodities are treading water: the euro is near $1.1592, sterling at $1.3308, the Aussie and Kiwi dollars stable; oil prices and stocks reflect tentative relief amid ceasefire hopes. (apnews.com)
  • All eyes turning toward Friday’s U.S. non‑farm payroll report, with a median estimate of 60,000 new jobs raising stakes for Federal Reserve rate‑cut expectations. (insight.factset.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How did major currencies perform ahead of Trump's Iran address?
Major currencies, including the euro and sterling, held steady in thin trading as investors awaited U.S. President Trump's address on the Gulf war.
What are investors expecting from Trump's national address?
Investors expect Trump to announce a U.S. military pullback and plans for a possible Gulf war ceasefire, which could impact global market sentiment.
Why has the U.S. dollar declined recently?
The U.S. dollar declined for a second day as expectations of a ceasefire and reduced safe-haven demand reversed popular market trades.
How could the Iran conflict impact oil and energy supplies?
Iran may restrict access to the Strait of Hormuz and, with damaged infrastructure, energy supplies are unlikely to rebound to pre-war levels quickly.
What upcoming economic report are markets watching besides Trump's speech?
Markets are closely watching Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls report for signs of labor market strength or weakness, which could affect Fed rate expectations.

Tags

Related Articles

More from Finance

Explore more articles in the Finance category