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Denmark's left-wing bloc led by PM Frederiksen edges towards majority, polls show

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on February 27, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 2, 2026

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(Tweaks headline to add source) COPENHAGEN, Feb 27 (Reuters) - Fresh opinion polls ahead of Denmark's March 24 parliamentary election showed Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats nearing

Denmark polls show Frederiksen’s left bloc edging toward majority

(Tweaks headline to add source)

Election polls and campaign divides

COPENHAGEN, Feb 27 (Reuters) - Fresh opinion polls ahead of Denmark's March 24 parliamentary election showed Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats nearing a majority with left-wing parties, indicating an end to nearly four years of cross-partisan government.

What the election will decide

The election will determine whether voters reward Frederiksen for her defence of Danish sovereignty over Greenland and international leadership or criticize her government for what opponents see as neglect of domestic concerns.

Latest poll results and seat projections

Two surveys showed the left-leaning bloc led by Frederiksen winning 87-88 seats in Denmark's 179-seat parliament, according to polls by Epinion and Megafon for broadcasters DR and TV2, just short of the 90 needed for a majority.

The right-leaning bloc led by Defence Minister Troels Lund Poulsen of the Liberal Party was projected to win 73 and 77 seats in the two polls.

Greenland and Faroe Islands seats could be decisive

Parliament includes four seats from Greenland and the Faroe Islands, which usually abstain from Danish domestic politics but could be decisive in a close race.

Coalition politics since 2022

Parties have traditionally aligned in left and right blocs, but the 2022 election produced a cross-party coalition of the Social Democrats, the Liberal Party and the Moderates, led by Foreign Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen, a former prime minister.

The coalition is set to lose its majority, with support down 13 and 15 percentage points in the two polls.

Wealth tax proposal sparks debate

The first leaders' debate on Thursday highlighted clear divisions over Frederiksen's proposal to introduce a wealth tax to fund education and welfare.

Opposition reactions and coalition criticism

Opposition Liberal Alliance leader Alex Vanopslagh dismissed it as "pettiness,", while Moderates leader Rasmussen called it "stupid."

Critics cited Norway's wealth tax, saying it drove millionaires abroad and could undermine long-term growth, while supporters argue the measure would reduce inequality and fund social programmes.

Social Democrats support trend in polls

Support for Frederiksen's Social Democrats has rebounded from a December low of 17% to 20.8% and 21.8% in the two polls. The party won 28% in the 2022 election.

(Reporting by Stine Jacobsen; Editing by Nivedita Bhattacharjee)

Key Takeaways

  • Seat arithmetic is tight: the Folketing has 179 seats and a 90-seat majority; Denmark proper elects 175 seats, with 2 each from Greenland and the Faroe Islands that can become decisive in close outcomes. (en.wikipedia.org)
  • Frederiksen called an early election for March 24, 2026 amid a polling boost linked to heightened Greenland-focused sovereignty tensions, reframing the vote around security and Denmark’s international posture. (apnews.com)
  • A proposed wealth tax has become a central dividing line, with opponents pointing to Norway’s experience where higher wealth taxation has been associated with high-profile relocations abroad, while supporters argue it funds welfare and reduces inequality. (theguardian.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What do the latest polls show for Denmark’s left-wing and right-wing blocs?
Two polls projected the left-leaning bloc led by PM Mette Frederiksen winning 87–88 seats, while the right-leaning bloc led by Troels Lund Poulsen was projected to win 73 and 77 seats.
How many seats are needed for a majority in Denmark’s parliament?
A majority requires 90 seats in Denmark’s 179-seat parliament.
What issue stood out in the first leaders’ debate mentioned in the article?
The debate highlighted divisions over Frederiksen’s proposal to introduce a wealth tax to fund education and welfare, which was criticized by Alex Vanopslagh and Lars Lokke Rasmussen.

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