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Deutsche Bank sees Turkey cutting rates to 14% by year-end

Published by maria gbaf

Posted on November 12, 2021

1 min read

· Last updated: January 28, 2026

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LONDON (Reuters) – Deutsche Bank said it now expected Turkey’s central bank (CBT) to reduce interest rates faster than previously anticipated and cut by 100 basis points at each of its November and December meetings. “On the back of the lower-than-expected core inflation in October, the CBT’s recent emphasis on current account adjustments, as well as the increase in […]

Deutsche Bank Forecasts Turkey's Interest Rate Cut to 14%

LONDON (Reuters) – Deutsche Bank said it now expected Turkey’s central bank (CBT) to reduce interest rates faster than previously anticipated and cut by 100 basis points at each of its November and December meetings.

“On the back of the lower-than-expected core inflation in October, the CBT’s recent emphasis on current account adjustments, as well as the increase in required reserve ratios for FX and gold deposits announced this week, we expect the CBT to lower the policy rate faster than initially anticipated,” said Fatih Akcelik in a note to clients late on Wednesday.

“Our year-end policy rate (and terminal rate) is now

14.0% (previously 15%).”

Deutsche Bank also said it expected headline inflation to stay above 20% in the first half of next year and end 2022 at 16.0%.

(Reporting by Karin Strohecker; Editing by Rachel Armstrong)

Key Takeaways

  • Deutsche Bank expects Turkey's interest rates to drop to 14% by year-end.
  • The central bank may cut rates by 100 basis points in November and December.
  • Lower-than-expected core inflation influences the rate cut decision.
  • Headline inflation in Turkey is expected to remain above 20% in early 2023.
  • The increase in required reserve ratios for FX and gold deposits is noted.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main topic?
The article discusses Deutsche Bank's forecast for Turkey's central bank to cut interest rates to 14% by year-end.
Why does Deutsche Bank expect rate cuts?
Deutsche Bank cites lower-than-expected core inflation and recent policy changes as reasons for the anticipated rate cuts.
What is the expected inflation rate in Turkey?
Deutsche Bank expects headline inflation in Turkey to remain above 20% in the first half of 2023.

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