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Dollar holds losses as risk appetite flickers ahead of central bank meetings

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 18, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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Dollar holds losses as risk appetite flickers ahead of central bank meetings
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By Rocky Swift TOKYO, March 18 (Reuters) - The dollar held losses on Wednesday as a glimmer of risk appetite came back to markets ahead of a slate of key central bank decisions. The yen rallied from

Dollar gains as Fed leaves rates unchanged

Federal Reserve Decision and Market Reactions

By Chibuike Oguh

NEW YORK, March 18 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar strengthened against other major currencies on Wednesday, on track to claw back losses from the past two sessions after the U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged. 

The Fed projected higher inflation as well as one interest rate cut for the year as officials weighed the economic impact of the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran.

Impact of Middle East Conflict on Dollar Strength

The dollar has strengthened overall since the Middle East conflict almost three weeks ago, reaching a 10-month high late last week as the conflict and rising oil prices drove investors into safe-haven U.S. assets.

Expert Analysis on Fed Projections

"The consistent tone, paired with a fresh set of projections showing lower growth, weaker employment, and higher inflation than in December, marks the clearest signal yet that Chair Jay Powell's Fed sees higher energy prices playing a temporary, but demand-destructive role in the U.S. economy," said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Corpay in Toronto.

Currency Movements Following Fed Announcement

The dollar strengthened 0.92% to 0.792 against the Swiss franc. The euro was down 0.5% at $1.148.

The Fed didn't change expectations of where rates will be heading or that Treasury markets are headed in the wrong direction, which is positive for the dollar, said Joseph Trevisani, senior analyst at FX Street in New York.

"It's a hawkish hold and the main reason for that is because the base case going forward was still one rate decrease in 2026 and although that hasn't changed, treasury rates are higher than they were two or three months ago," Trevisani said. 

The dollar index was up 0.51% to 100.0.

Powell's Remarks and Producer Price Index Data

In his press remarks following the Fed decision, Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank will look through the impact of higher oil prices induced by the conflict if there's more progress this year in bringing down core inflation driven by goods prices.

Prior to the Fed's decision, data from the U.S. Labor Department showed that the Producer Price Index surged 0.7%, while economists polled by Reuters had forecast a 3% rise.

Global Central Banks and Currency Updates

Yen Inches Toward Intervention Zone

YEN INCHES TOWARD INTERVENTION ZONE

Other major central banks are poised to announce their rate decisions this week, including the European Central Bank, Bank of England and Bank of Japan.

They are all widely expected to maintain interest rates but traders will look for clues on where borrowing costs are heading amid a potential inflationary shock from the Middle East war.

Japanese Yen and Other Major Currencies

The Japanese yen JPY= weakened 0.43% against the greenback to 159.7 per dollar. The yen is trading near its 2024 intervention zone, triggering worries that Japanese authorities might step in again.

Sterling GBP= was down 0.46% at $1.3292.

The dollar strengthened 0.19% to 6.894 versus the offshore Chinese yuan.

(Reporting by Chibuike Oguh in New York; Additional reporting by Saqib Ahmed in New York; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise, Chris Reese and Nick Zieminski)

Key Takeaways

  • The dollar index dipped to around 99.56, weighed by improved sentiment ahead of Fed, ECB, BOJ, and BoE meetings; markets seek clues on inflation and rate path. (tradingview.com)
  • Iran confirmed on March 17 that senior security official Ali Larijani was killed in an Israeli airstrike, marking a pivotal escalation in the conflict influencing global markets. (en.wikipedia.org)
  • Risk appetite flickered—yen recovered modestly ahead of Tokyo’s intervention fears and broader central bank outlooks, while traders have scaled back Fed easing expectations and priced modest ECB hikes in 2026. (tradingview.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did the dollar hold losses ahead of central bank meetings?
The dollar held losses as market risk appetite improved ahead of key central bank decisions from the Fed, ECB, BoE, and BoJ.
How did the yen and euro perform in currency markets?
The yen rallied on intervention concerns, while the euro remained stable after two days of gains.
What impact did the Middle East crisis have on currency markets?
The Middle East conflict increased demand for safe haven currencies like the dollar, influencing volatility and trading activities.
What are markets expecting from upcoming central bank decisions?
Markets expect the Fed, ECB, BoE, and BoJ to keep interest rates unchanged but are watching for inflation and economic outlook commentary.
How did cryptocurrencies perform during this period?
Bitcoin fell 0.48% to $74,193.50 and ether declined 0.04% to $2,327.66 amid ongoing market volatility.

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