FRANKFURT, April 21 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank must be cautious when setting interest rates, given the great uncertainty associated with the war in Iran, ECB Vice-President Luis de Guindos
ECB Must Remain Cautious on Interest Rates as Iran War Escalates Uncertainty
ECB's Approach to Interest Rates Amid Geopolitical Tensions
FRANKFURT, April 21 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank must be cautious when setting interest rates, given the great uncertainty associated with the war in Iran, ECB Vice-President Luis de Guindos said on Tuesday.
Upcoming ECB Meeting and Policy Considerations
The ECB is due to meet next week and policymakers, including President Christine Lagarde on Monday, have been suggesting they did not have enough evidence yet to raise rates to quell an energy-fuelled rise in inflation.
Focus on Energy Prices and Inflation
De Guindos, too, called for caution and said the ECB should focus on whether more expensive oil and gas were raising other prices.
"I believe we need to be cautious, keep a cool head and analyse the data in a context of tremendous uncertainty," de Guindos told an event in Spain.
ECB Projections and Inflation Scenarios
He echoed colleagues in saying that energy prices were at present between the ECB's baseline projections, which only see a temporary rise in inflation, and an adverse scenario with larger and more enduring spillovers.
Risks to Financial Stability in the Euro Zone
De Guindos also warned about three sources of risk to financial stability in the euro zone: high market valuations, loose fiscal policy in some countries, and trouble in private credit.
Financial Stability Review and Leadership Transition
He is due to present the last Financial Stability Review of his mandate as an ECB board member on May 27, before stepping down at the end of that month.
(Reporting by Francesco Canepa; Editing by Aidan Lewis and Hugh Lawson)
