Finance

ECB's Villeroy says it is too soon to say when rates could rise

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 2, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 3, 2026

Add as preferred source on Google
ECB's Villeroy says it is too soon to say when rates could rise
Global Banking & Finance Awards 2026 — Call for Entries

PARIS, April 2 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank's next interest rate move will very likely be an increase although it is still too early to say when it will start hiking, ECB policymaker Francois

ECB's Villeroy Cautious on Timing of Likely Interest Rate Increase

ECB Policy Outlook and Economic Context

Villeroy's Statement on Interest Rate Hikes

PARIS, April 2 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank's next interest rate move will very likely be an increase although it is still too early to say when it will start hiking, ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Thursday.

Inflation Trends and Energy Prices

Villeroy, who is also governor of the Bank of France, said the current energy price spike was quickly feeding into headline euro zone and French inflation data, although underlying inflation remained "firmly under control".

Geopolitical Risks and Economic Scenarios

Nonetheless, the prolongation of the conflict in the Middle East was a negative factor for the outlook and as things currently stand the situation was closer to the ECB's intermediate adverse scenario than to its baseline scenario upon which it based its economic forecasts last month.

Future Interest Rate Path

Against that backdrop, Villeroy said the next change in the ECB's interest rates were "highly likely to be upwards", speaking at Paris Sciences Po university.

Uncertainty Over Timing

"It is far too early to predict a timetable for ECB interest rate rises but it is clear that we have the capacity to act when and in whatever way necessary," Villeroy added.

(Reporting by Leigh Thomas;Editing by Sudip Kar-Gupta)

Key Takeaways

  • Villeroy cautioned that while an ECB rate rise is ‘highly likely,’ it's premature to forecast when it could happen. Source: Reuters (April 2, 2026).
  • Headline inflation in the euro zone—and notably in France—is rising due to energy price spikes, yet core inflation remains firmly under control. Source: Reuters; ECB outlook.
  • The prolonged Middle East conflict is weighing on the outlook, shifting risks closer to the ECB’s intermediate adverse scenario. Source: Reuters; ECB risk assessments.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What did ECB's Villeroy say about interest rate changes?
Villeroy stated that the next ECB interest rate move is likely to be an increase, but it is too early to specify when it will happen.
What is influencing ECB’s monetary policy outlook?
Rising energy prices and the ongoing Middle East conflict are influencing the policy outlook, affecting inflation and economic forecasts.
Is underlying inflation in the euro zone under control?
Yes, according to Villeroy, underlying inflation remains firmly under control despite the spike in headline inflation.
How is the Middle East conflict affecting the ECB’s outlook?
The conflict is considered a negative factor, bringing the outlook closer to the ECB's adverse scenario than its baseline forecast.
Has the ECB set a timetable for interest rate hikes?
No, Villeroy emphasized that it is far too early to predict a timetable for rate increases.

Tags

Related Articles

More from Finance

Explore more articles in the Finance category