Finance

European Q1 corporate profits expected to grow 4% helped by booming energy sector

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 2, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 3, 2026

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European Q1 corporate profits expected to grow 4% helped by booming energy sector
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April 2 (Reuters) - European blue chip companies are set to deliver growing profits in the first quarter, the latest forecasts showed on Thursday, thanks to strong expectations for energy companies. 

European Q1 Profits Expected to Rise 4% Led by Booming Energy Sector

Q1 Earnings Outlook for European Blue Chip Companies

April 2 (Reuters) - European blue chip companies are set to deliver growing profits in the first quarter, the latest forecasts showed on Thursday, thanks to strong expectations for energy companies. 

STOXX 600 companies are expected to report growth of 4% in first-quarter earnings, on average, according to LSEG I/B/E/S data, compared to the 2% year-on-year decline the previous quarter.

Energy Sector Drives Profit Growth

  • Impact of Middle East Conflict on Crude Prices

    That is mostly due to a windfall blessing for energy companies as the ongoing war in the Middle East has raised crude prices by 50% to 70%

  • Energy Sector Earnings Surge

    Earnings of energy companies are expected to rise by 24.9% according to LSEG's report, while other sectors are set to deliver a 1.5% increase on average 

Revenue Trends and Cost Management

  • Revenue Growth Slower Than Earnings

    Revenues are also seen growing compared to the same period last year, albeit at a slower rate —compared to earnings— of 1.7%, the data showed

  • Cost-Cutting and Restructuring Efforts

    Revenues have lagged earnings in seven of the past eight quarters, showing that companies efforts to cut costs and restructure businesses could be paying off

Improving Earnings Estimates

  • Upward Revisions Since Start of Year

    Estimates for European companies' earnings have considerably improved in the past months, especially after the conflict began

  • From Modest Growth to Stronger Forecasts

    Initial and Updated Profit Expectations

    Profits of European majors were expected to grow at a very modest 0.9% at the beginning of the year, but estimates have consistently improved in recent weeks

Investor Perspectives

Long-Term Economic Impact

Investors say the reverberations of the conflict will take a while to feed through the economy

(Reporting by Javi West Larrañaga; Editing by Matt Scuffham)

Key Takeaways

  • STOXX 600 Q1 earnings expected to grow ~4%, reversing prior quarter’s 2% decline, per LSEG I/B/E/S forecasts.
  • Energy sector profits set to surge ~24.9% year-on-year, significantly boosting aggregate earnings.
  • Revenues rising modestly ~1.7%, lagging earnings—consistent with trends of cost-cutting and restructuring.
  • Earnings forecasts have been upgraded substantially in recent weeks—from ~0.9% at start of year to current levels—reflecting impact of geopolitical tensions and energy price dynamics.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expected growth rate for European Q1 corporate profits?
European blue chip companies are expected to see a 4% growth in first-quarter profits.
Which sector is driving Q1 profit growth in Europe?
The energy sector is the primary driver, with earnings expected to rise by 24.9%.
How have energy prices affected corporate earnings?
The ongoing Middle East conflict has boosted crude prices by 50-70%, benefiting energy company profits.
How do revenue growth and earnings growth compare for STOXX 600 companies?
Revenue is seen growing by 1.7%, lagging behind the 4% growth in earnings for the first quarter.
Have earnings estimates improved for European companies this year?
Yes, estimates have improved from a modest 0.9% at the year’s start to 4% due to recent developments.

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