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France's budget built on shaky ground, fiscal watchdog warns

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on October 14, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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France's budget built on shaky ground, fiscal watchdog warns
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PARIS (Reuters) -The French government's 2026 budget plans are based on rosy economic assumptions and its belt-tightening measures may fall short or never even take shape, the independent fiscal

France's budget built on shaky ground, fiscal watchdog warns

Overview of France's 2026 Budget Plans

PARIS (Reuters) -The French government's 2026 budget plans are based on rosy economic assumptions and its belt-tightening measures may fall short or never even take shape, the independent fiscal watchdog said on Tuesday.

Economic Assumptions and Risks

Reappointed on Friday, Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu is racing to present a 2026 budget bill to parliament before constitutional limits on reviewing the legislation run out.

Proposed Budget Cuts and Measures

The budget, already submitted to the Haut Conseil des Finances Publiques for review, aims to reduce the deficit to between 4.7% and 5% of GDP — a modest improvement from this year's 5.4%, the fiscal watchdog said.

Taxation Changes and Impact

The government's plan hinges on a more than 30 billion euro ($34.7 billion) budget squeeze, including cuts to corporate tax breaks, tighter rules on social welfare contributions, and new levies such as a small parcel tax and an exceptional surtax on complementary health insurers, the Haut Conseil said.

It also clamps down on the taxation of holding companies used by wealthy people to lower their tax bills, stopping short of a 2% tax on wealth over 100 million euros as demanded buy the Socialists.

(Reporting by Leigh Thomas; Editing byh Benoit Van Overstraeten)

Key Takeaways

  • France's 2026 budget is based on optimistic assumptions.
  • The fiscal watchdog warns of potential shortfalls.
  • Budget aims to reduce deficit to 4.7%-5% of GDP.
  • Proposed measures include tax cuts and new levies.
  • Wealth taxation changes fall short of Socialist demands.

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