Finance

Moody's maintains France's rating, revises outlook to 'negative'

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on October 24, 2025

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· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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Moody's maintains France's rating, revises outlook to 'negative'
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PARIS (Reuters) -Credit ratings agency Moody's on Friday maintained France's rating, but revised its outlook to "negative" from "stable", citing increased risks from political fragmentation that could

Moody's Keeps France's Rating Steady, Outlook Turned Negative

PARIS (Reuters) -Credit ratings agency Moody's on Friday maintained France's rating, but revised its outlook to "negative" from "stable", citing increased risks from political fragmentation that could hamper the country's ability to tame its deficit.

Moody's decision not to downgrade France, keeping its long-term foreign currency sovereign credit rating at Aa3, will be a relief for the French government after downgrades by Fitch, DBRS and S&P Global, all within just over a month.

Finance Minister Roland Lescure said in a statement that Moody's decision "reflects the absolute necessity of building a collective path toward a budgetary compromise."

"The government remains determined to meet the target of a 5.4% of GDP deficit in 2025 and to continue on an ambitious trajectory of reducing the public deficit to return below 3% of GDP by 2029, while preserving growth," Lescure said.

Still, Moody's comments were sobering.

The government's decision to postpone a landmark pension reform until 2028 could "exacerbate the government's fiscal challenges and negatively impact the economy's potential growth rate by reducing the labour supply," it said.

"France has highly competent public institutions, although the strength of the institutional framework is being tested in the context of an increasingly challenging domestic political backdrop," it added.

French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu was forced to mothball the pension reform to win crucial support from the left, which had been threatening to oust his weak minority government.

After winning that concession, the Socialists on Friday threatened to once again topple the government by Monday if a billionaires tax is not included in the 2026 budget.

The threat of more instability is worrying for France's economy, with French business activity declining more quickly than expected in October, according to data released on Friday.

(Reporting by Aatrayee Chatterjee in Bengaluru and Gabriel Stargardter in Paris; Editing by Anil D'Silva and Will Dunham)

Key Takeaways

  • Moody's maintains France's Aa3 rating.
  • Outlook revised to negative due to political risks.
  • France aims for a 5.4% GDP deficit by 2025.
  • Pension reform postponed, affecting growth.
  • Political instability threatens economic stability.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a credit rating?
A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower, indicating the likelihood of default on debt obligations. It helps investors gauge the risk associated with lending to that borrower.
What is GDP?
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total monetary value of all goods and services produced within a country's borders in a specific time period, serving as a broad measure of overall economic activity.

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