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German manufacturing expands in March despite Iran war supply strains, PMI shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 1, 2026

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· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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German manufacturing expands in March despite Iran war supply strains, PMI shows
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BERLIN, April 1 (Reuters) - Germany's manufacturing sector expanded in March at its fastest pace since May 2022 as output and new orders grew despite supply disruptions tied to the Iran war, a survey

German Manufacturing Grows in March Amid Iran War-Related Supply Disruptions

Germany's Manufacturing Sector Shows Resilience Despite Global Tensions

BERLIN, April 1 (Reuters) - Germany's manufacturing sector expanded in March at its fastest pace since May 2022 as output and new orders grew despite supply disruptions tied to the Iran war, a survey showed on Wednesday.

Manufacturing Growth and PMI Data

The S&P Global final Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for German manufacturing rose to 52.2 in March from 50.9 in February, coming in slightly above an earlier "flash" reading of 51.7. 

A reading above 50 marks growth, below signals contraction.

Supply Chain Stress and Lead Times

Signs of stress are already starting to show across the supply chains, said Phil Smith, economics associate director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, adding that lead times on inputs have lengthened to their greatest extent since mid-2022.

"This has helped boost the headline PMI, due to the assumption that longer delivery times are usually associated with increased demand," he said. 

Output, New Orders, and Production Trends

March saw stronger rates of output and new order growth, as surveyed businesses signalled that the boost was tied to demand from customers looking to mitigate disruptions.

Production grew at the steepest pace since February 2022, while new orders increased for a third straight month, at the quickest rate since March 2022. 

Impact of the Iran War on Costs and Prices

Smith added that the immediate impact of the war was clear to see. 

"Most notably, input cost inflation has spiked higher on the back of the surge in oil and gas prices, registering its largest single-month rise on record," he added. 

The input prices index posted a record monthly rise, hitting 70.3 in March from 59.4 the month before, which was also its highest level since October 2022. 

Factory gate inflation accelerated to a 37-month high as manufacturers passed on part of the higher burden.

Outlook and Expectations

Manufacturers' output expectations over the next 12 months fell to their lowest since November, with anecdotal evidence pointing to price concerns and uncertainty associated with the war, after expectations had reached a four-year high in February. 

(Reporting by Miranda Murray; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

Key Takeaways

  • Manufacturing expanded with stronger output and orders even amid lengthening input lead times and disrupted supply chains.
  • Input cost inflation surged sharply—input prices index hit a record monthly rise—to the highest level since mid‑2022, with factory gate inflation near a 37‑month high.
  • Outlook softened as manufacturers’ output expectations dropped to their weakest level since November amid price and geopolitical uncertainty.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What was Germany's manufacturing PMI in March 2024?
Germany's manufacturing PMI rose to 52.2 in March 2024, up from 50.9 in February.
How did the Iran war impact German manufacturing in March?
The Iran war caused supply chain disruptions, leading to longer delivery times and higher input costs.
Which factor contributed to the rise in the PMI despite supply strains?
The PMI increased partly because longer lead times are often associated with higher demand.
How have input costs and factory gate inflation changed?
Input costs saw a record single-month rise, and factory gate inflation reached a 37-month high as manufacturers passed some costs to customers.
What are the expectations for German manufacturers over the next 12 months?
Output expectations fell to their lowest since November, citing price concerns and war-related uncertainty.

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