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German residential property market faces risk of price drop – DIW study

Published by Uma Rajagopal

Posted on November 23, 2022

2 min read

· Last updated: February 3, 2026

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Urban apartment buildings in Berlin representing the German residential property market - Global Banking & Finance Review
The image showcases urban apartment buildings in Berlin, reflecting the dynamics of the German residential property market. This visual context relates to the DIW study discussing potential price drops in housing amidst rising demand and construction challenges.
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BERLIN (Reuters) – The German residential property market faces a growing risk of price corrections, the DIW research institute said in a study released on Wednesday. “We are not facing the bursting of a huge real estate price bubble in Germany,” the report’s co-author Konstantin Kholodilin said. “But price drops of up to 10% for […]

BERLIN (Reuters) – The German residential property market faces a growing risk of price corrections, the DIW research institute said in a study released on Wednesday.

“We are not facing the bursting of a huge real estate price bubble in Germany,” the report’s co-author Konstantin Kholodilin said. “But price drops of up to 10% for owner-occupied flats and owner-occupied homes are quite possible.”

According to the study, prices for owner-occupied homes and flats in 97 cities surveyed across the country have risen by an average of 11% this year, while rents have only increased by 4%.

“Since property purchases are refinanced by rental income – or in the case of owner-occupation by saved rent payments – property prices should develop in line with rents in the long term,” it said.

In many places, rising property prices are due to high demand and low supply, the study added.

The population is growing in major German cities while too few new homes are being built due to less favourable financing conditions, increased construction costs and, in many places, shortages of workers.

“Politicians should quickly give new construction activity a boost by speeding up procedures and increasing public investment in construction,” said co-author Malte Rieth.

(Reporting by Rene Wagner; Writing by Paul Carrel; Editing by Rashmi Aich)

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a price correction?
A price correction refers to a decline in the price of an asset, such as real estate, after a period of rising prices. It often occurs when the market adjusts to overvaluation.
What are owner-occupied homes?
Owner-occupied homes are residential properties that are owned and lived in by the owner, as opposed to being rented out to tenants.
What is rental income?
Rental income is the money earned by property owners from renting out their property to tenants. It is often used to help cover mortgage payments and property expenses.

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