BERLIN (Reuters) -German logistics firms are under pressure heading into 2026, a year in which only slight growth of 0.5% year-on-year in real terms is expected, according to a forecast published by
German logistics firms face challenging 2026, says industry group
Outlook for the German Logistics Industry
BERLIN (Reuters) -German logistics firms are under pressure heading into 2026, a year in which only slight growth of 0.5% year-on-year in real terms is expected, according to a forecast published by the industry association BVL on Wednesday
Growth Scenarios for 2026
A group of logistics experts presented for the first time three different scenarios instead of a single forecast due to the uncertain economic and geopolitical situation.
Factors Influencing Market Sentiment
In the optimistic case, real growth of 1.1% is possible, while in the pessimistic scenario, the sector faces a 0.4% decline.
Impact of Trade Policies
The current mood in autumn 2025 is assessed by the specialists as slightly negative, even though investment intentions are stable.
Cybersecurity Challenges
The experts cited several factors for their scepticism, with an uncertain trade policy environment at the top.
Hope in Technological Advancements
In addition, an increase in cyberattacks is to be expected, which would tie up a relevant share of IT budgets, the group said.
The sector is placing great hope in efficiency gains through more automation, digitalization, and artificial intelligence.
(Reporting by Klaus Lauer, writing by Maria Martinez, editing by Miranda Murray)
