Finance

Oil drops 1%, settles at 5-month lows as Trump-Putin summit looms

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on October 16, 2025

3 min read

· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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Oil drops 1%, settles at 5-month lows as Trump-Putin summit looms
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By Katya Golubkova TOKYO (Reuters) -Oil prices rose by around 1% in early trade on Thursday after U.S. President Donald Trump said Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi had pledged his country would

Oil Prices Slide to 5-Month Lows Ahead of Trump-Putin Meeting

Impact of Geopolitical Events on Oil Prices

By Nicole Jao

Market Reactions to Inventory Reports

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices fell more than 1% on Thursday after U.S. President Donald Trump said he and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to meet in Hungary soon to discuss ending the war in Ukraine, casting uncertainty over global energy supplies.

India's Oil Import Dynamics

Brent crude futures settled 85 cents, or 1.37%, lower at $61.06 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures closed 81 cents, or 1.39%, lower at $57.46. Those were the lowest settlements for both benchmarks since May 5.

Sanctions and Their Effects on Oil Markets

Trump said he and Putin agreed on Thursday to meet in Budapest soon to discuss ending the war in Ukraine, one day before the U.S. president was due to speak with Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskiy. The date of the summit was not provided.

"The geopolitical tension between Russia, the United States and Ukraine is beginning to redevelop," said Tim Snyder, chief economist at Matador Economics, pushing some market participants to unwind their positions. 

Also weighing on prices, the Energy Information Administration said U.S. crude inventories increased by 3.5 million barrels to 423.8 million barrels last week, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 288,000-barrel rise. The bigger-than-expected build in crude inventory was largely due to lower refining utilization as refineries go into fall turnarounds. [EIA/S]

"A modestly bearish report, with a large crude build being offset by a large distillate draw, but with implied oil demand considerably weaker than last week," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

The data also showed a rise in U.S. production to 13.636 million barrels per day, the highest on record.

Meanwhile, traders were also looking for a potential halt to India's Russian oil imports, which could reshape flows and boost demand for supplies from elsewhere.

President Trump said Prime Minister Narendra Modi had pledged on Wednesday that India would stop buying from Russia, which is India's top oil supplier, accounting for about one-third of its oil imports.

"This is a positive development for the crude oil price as it would remove a big buyer of Russian oil," said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG.

Both contracts on Wednesday touched their lowest since early May on U.S.-China trade tensions and concerns about a looming supply glut. 

Some Indian refiners are preparing to cut Russian oil imports, with expectations of a gradual reduction, three sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.

However, India said on Thursday that its two main goals were to ensure stable energy prices and secure supply, making no reference to Trump's comments.

Russia said it was confident that its energy partnership with India would continue.

The British government announced new sanctions on Wednesday, directly targeting Russia's Rosneft and Lukoil - two of the world's biggest energy companies.

(Reporting by Nicole Jao in New York, Robert Harvey in London, Katya Golubkova in Tokyo and Sam Li in Beijing. Editing by Alexander Smith, Rod Nickel and David Gregorio)

Key Takeaways

  • Oil prices dropped over 1% amid geopolitical tensions.
  • Trump and Putin plan to meet to discuss Ukraine war.
  • US crude inventories rose more than expected.
  • India's potential halt on Russian oil imports could impact markets.
  • New UK sanctions target Russian energy companies.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Brent crude?
Brent crude is a major trading classification of crude oil originating from the North Sea. It serves as a global benchmark for oil prices.
What are crude inventories?
Crude inventories refer to the stock of crude oil held in storage. They are an important indicator of supply and demand in the oil market.
What is West Texas Intermediate (WTI)?
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is a grade of crude oil used as a benchmark in oil pricing, primarily produced in the United States.
What is oil futures trading?
Oil futures trading involves buying and selling contracts for the future delivery of oil at predetermined prices, allowing investors to hedge against price fluctuations.

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