Finance

IMF downgrades Russia's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.6%

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on October 14, 2025

1 min read

· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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IMF downgrades Russia's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.6%
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IMF downgrades Russia's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.6%

IMF's Revised Economic Outlook for Russia

MOSCOW (Reuters) -The International Monetary Fund has downgraded Russia's gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for 2025 to 0.6% from 0.9%, below the official government forecast of 1%.

Factors Influencing GDP Growth

The Russian economy, heavily sanctioned by the West, is set to slow down sharply from 4.3% growth in 2024, primarily due to the high key interest rate set by the central bank to combat inflation.

Central Bank's Interest Rate Policy

The key rate is currently at 17%, with some business leaders suggesting that a rate between 12% and 14% is necessary to reignite economic growth.

Business Leaders' Recommendations

(Reporting by Gleb Bryanski; editing by Mark Heinrich)

Key Takeaways

  • IMF downgrades Russia's GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 0.6%.
  • The Russian economy is heavily impacted by Western sanctions.
  • High interest rates are a key factor in slowing economic growth.
  • Business leaders suggest lowering the interest rate to 12-14%.
  • The official government forecast remains at 1% growth.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is inflation?
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
What is a central bank?
A central bank is a financial institution that manages a country's currency, money supply, and interest rates, often overseeing the banking system and implementing monetary policy.
What are interest rates?
Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money or the return on savings, expressed as a percentage of the principal amount. They are influenced by monetary policy and economic conditions.
What is economic growth?
Economic growth refers to an increase in the production of goods and services in an economy over a period, typically measured by the rise in GDP.

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