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Infant formula recall and impact of Iran war weigh on Danone Q1 sales

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 22, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: April 22, 2026

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Infant formula recall and impact of Iran war weigh on Danone Q1 sales
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PARIS, April 22 (Reuters) - French food group Danone delivered first-quarter sales growth of 2.7%, which was slightly above expectations but marked a sharp slowdown from the previous quarter, as a

Danone beats Q1 expectations despite formula recall, Iran war

Danone's First Quarter Performance and Market Impact

By Dominique Vidalon

Q1 Sales Growth and Market Reaction

PARIS, April 22 (Reuters) - Danone on Wednesday said it beat first-quarter sales growth expectations, though a European baby formula recall and supply disruptions related to the Iran war weighed on its specialised nutrition business.

The company's shares rose nearly 3% in the wake of the French food group's report.

Brand Portfolio and Guidance

The company, whose brands include Activia yoghurt, Aptamil formula and Evian water, also kept its full-year guidance intact. Juergen Esser, the company's finance chief, said Danone's baby formula business would undergo a "normalisation" through the year, though he did not quantify how things might improve in the second quarter.

Performance of U.S. Coffee Creamer Business

Analysts said the company's underperforming U.S. coffee creamer business improved in the first quarter.

Financial Results and Outlook

First-quarter sales totalled 6.708 billion euros ($7.88 billion), representing like-for-like growth of 2.7%, compared with analysts' expectations for a 2.6% increase. In the fourth quarter of 2025, growth was 4.7%.

Danone reiterated its 2026 guidance in line with its mid-term aims of like-for-like sales growth of 3% to 5%, with recurring operating income growing faster than sales.

Impact of Geopolitical Events and Product Recalls

Supply Chain Disruptions from Iran War

The U.S.-Israeli war on Iran has disrupted supply chains, including shipments of baby formula imported from Europe that move through the Middle East. Danone's overall business in the region accounts for around 2% to 3% of net sales.

Baby Formula Recall and Market Exposure

The baby formula recall hit companies including Danone and Nestle in the first quarter due to possible contamination with the toxin cereulide and investors are eager to understand the extent of the financial and reputational impact.

Danone, which recalled infant formula products across Europe and the Middle East, said its focus was to restore trust in the infant formula business as the recall situation was "going back to normal."

The company is particularly exposed to the recall as around 17% of its total profits come from infant formula sold in China, compared with less than 2% for Nestle, Jefferies analysts said.

Pricing, Volume Growth, and Analyst Commentary

Danone reported an overall price increase of about 1.2% in the first quarter, while volume-led growth was 1.5%.

"Overall, management displayed confidence in a recovery through the year as the results showcase the resilience of Danone's volumes," JPMorgan analysts said in a note.

"Yet, the lack of assertive comments on North America recovery and the lingering impact of the (infant formula) recall make us wary that expectations for 4% like-for-like in Q2 may need to be trimmed, along with a more moderate margin improvement for FY26 (vs consensus +20bps)."

($1 = 0.8517 euros)

(Reporting by Dominique Vidalon; Dominique Patton, Editing by Sudip Kar-Gupta, Louise Heavens and Thomas Derpinghaus)

Key Takeaways

  • Infant formula recall due to cereulide toxin expected to hit Q1 sales by €35–70 million, about 0.5–1 % of net sales (insurancejournal.com)
  • Danone shares dipped significantly following recall announcements, though China formula operations remained unaffected (investing.com)
  • CEO cautioned that prolonged Iran conflict could elevate food prices via higher energy, fertilizer, and shipping costs (in.investing.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did Danone's Q1 sales grow?
Danone's first-quarter sales grew by 2.7%, slightly above analysts' expectations.
What factors affected Danone's Q1 sales?
A recall of baby formula across Europe and the Middle East conflict negatively impacted specialised nutrition sales.
Did Danone change its 2026 financial guidance?
No, Danone reiterated its 2026 guidance, aiming for 3-5% like-for-like sales growth.
Which products were involved in the recall?
The recall affected baby formula products, with concerns over possible contamination with the toxin cereulide.
Did Danone maintain its full year outlook despite the slowdown?
Yes, Danone kept its full year guidance intact despite the Q1 slowdown.

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