Finance

Iran war knocks UK business confidence, survey shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 1, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 2, 2026

Add as preferred source on Google
Iran war knocks UK business confidence, survey shows
Global Banking & Finance Awards 2026 — Call for Entries

LONDON, April 2 (Reuters) - British business confidence has fallen as the Iran war exacerbates worries among employers about costs, according to a survey of accountants that chimed with similar

Iran War Causes UK Business Confidence to Drop, Survey Finds

Impact of the Iran War on UK Business Confidence

LONDON, April 2 (Reuters) - British business confidence has fallen as the Iran war exacerbates worries among employers about costs, according to a survey of accountants that chimed with similar concerns from other groups since the start of the U.S.-Israeli attacks.

The Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales said on Thursday that its quarterly Business Confidence Monitor had been on course to turn positive for the first time since 2024 over the first three months of 2026.

But it fell from +2.8 on the eve of the conflict to -1.1 by the end of the 10-week survey on March 16.

Expert Commentary

"The first quarter was a tale of two halves for the UK economy as the early-year optimism was dramatically snuffed out as the Middle East conflict refuelled fears over skyrocketing cost pressures and wider economic conditions," Suren Thiru, chief economist at the ICAEW, said.

Key Findings from the Survey

Trends in Business Confidence

  • Confidence has fallen for five quarters in a row, the longest run of downturns in more than six years

Major Concerns for Businesses

  • Businesses are concerned about inflation, higher energy costs and supply chain disruption due to the Iran conflict
  • More than half worried about labour costs as Britain's minimum wage rises and 35% of firms cited concerns about energy price volatility

Sales and Price Expectations

  • Domestic and export sales expectations for the coming 12 months edged down while expectations for the pace of increases in selling prices held at a historically high pace
Survey Participation
  • 1,000 accountants took part in ICAEW's survey between January 12 and March 16

(Reporting by Suban Abdulla)

Key Takeaways

  • ICAEW’s Business Confidence Monitor fell from +2.8 pre‑Iran conflict to –1.1 by March 16, marking five consecutive quarterly declines—the longest slump in over six years. (investing.com)
  • Concerns mount over inflation, energy prices, supply chain disruption, and rising labour costs, with 35% of firms citing energy price volatility and over half identifying cost pressures tied to the conflict. (icaew.com)
  • Other indicators mirror the downturn: the IoD’s Economic Confidence Index plunged to a record low of –76 in March, with 59% of respondents noting negative effects from the Middle East conflict; inflation forecasts have also been lifted amid energy shocks. (iod.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How has the Iran war affected UK business confidence?
The Iran war has caused UK business confidence to fall, reversing earlier positive trends due to increased worries over costs and economic conditions.
What are UK businesses most concerned about following recent conflicts?
UK businesses are most concerned about inflation, higher energy costs, and supply chain disruptions caused by the Iran conflict.
How long has UK business confidence been declining?
Business confidence has fallen for five consecutive quarters, marking the longest downturn in more than six years.
What proportion of businesses are worried about energy price volatility?
35% of firms in the survey cited concerns about energy price volatility.
How many accountants participated in the ICAEW survey?
1,000 accountants took part in the ICAEW’s survey conducted between January 12 and March 16.

Tags

Related Articles

More from Finance

Explore more articles in the Finance category