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Italian service sector growth slows in February, survey shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 4, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 2, 2026

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Italian service sector growth slows in February, survey shows
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ROME, March 4 (Reuters) - Italy's service sector expanded in February but at a slower pace than the previous month, a business survey showed on Wednesday, pointing to ongoing modest growth in the euro

Italian Service Sector Expansion Eases in February, Indicates Modest Economic Growth

Italy's Service Sector Performance and Economic Outlook

Service Sector Growth Slows but Remains Positive

ROME, March 4 (Reuters) - Italy's service sector expanded in February but at a slower pace than the previous month, a business survey showed on Wednesday, pointing to ongoing modest growth in the euro zone's third-largest economy.

The HCOB Italy Services PMI Business Activity Index stood at 52.3 last month from 52.9 in January, marking the 15th straight month above the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction.

A Reuters survey of 12 analysts had pointed to a reading of 52.0.

Manufacturing Sector and Composite PMI Trends

Manufacturing Sector Returns to Expansion

HCOB's sister survey for Italy's smaller manufacturing sector, published on Monday, showed a return to expansion in February after two months of contraction.

Composite PMI Accelerates

The composite PMI, combining manufacturing and services, accelerated to 52.1 from 51.4, above the 50 mark for a 13th month running.

Economic Implications and Forecasts

Potential Boost for Private Sector

The ongoing expansion in services and the improvement in manufacturing "could give Italy's private sector a welcome boost overall and enable it to get off to a solid start in the first quarter of the new year," said Hamburg Commercial Bank economist Jonas Feldhusen.

Recent and Projected Economic Growth

The Italian economy grew by 0.5% in 2025, national statistics bureau ISTAT reported on Monday, matching the government's most recent, downwardly revised target.

Italy is forecasting growth of 0.7% this year, which would be a fourth consecutive year of sub-1% growth despite a steady inflow of billions of euros of EU-post-COVID 19 recovery funds.    

Key Survey Indicators

New Business and Export Performance

In the services PMI survey the new business subindex decelerated marginally to 52.7 from a previous 52.9, but the indicator for new export business rose to 50.4 from 49.3, ending a run of three months in sub-50 territory.

Employment Trends

The employment indicator, at 51.9, was the highest since July last year.

Reporting and Editorial Credits

(Reporting by Antonella Cinelli, editing by Gavin Jones and Hugh Lawson)

Key Takeaways

  • Services PMI at 52.3 in February, down from 52.9 in January, but above the 50‑point expansion threshold
  • New export business rose above contraction for the first time in several months; employment hit its highest level since July
  • The composite PMI jumped to 52.1 as manufacturing returned to growth, supporting a modestly stronger start to Q1

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the HCOB Italy Services PMI for February?
The HCOB Italy Services PMI Business Activity Index was 52.3 in February, down from 52.9 in January.
How many consecutive months has Italy's service sector expanded?
Italy's service sector has recorded 15 consecutive months of expansion above the 50.0 threshold.
Did Italy's manufacturing sector show growth in February?
Yes, the HCOB survey showed Italy's manufacturing sector returned to expansion in February after two months of contraction.
What GDP growth did Italy report for 2025?
Italy's economy grew by 0.5% in 2025, matching the government's downwardly revised target.
How did new business and export business indicators perform in February?
The new business subindex slightly decreased to 52.7, but the new export business indicator rose to 50.4, ending three months below 50.

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