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Lockmaker Assa Abloy says US residential market has hit a floor

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on February 5, 2026

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· Last updated: February 5, 2026

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By Greta Rosen Fondahn STOCKHOLM, Feb 5 (Reuters) - Sweden's Assa Abloy, the world's largest lock maker, said on Thursday it believed the U.S. residential market had bottomed out, lifting its shares,

Assa Abloy Believes U.S. Residential Market Has Reached Its Low Point

U.S. Residential Market Analysis

By Greta Rosen Fondahn

Current Market Challenges

STOCKHOLM, Feb 5 (Reuters) - Sweden's Assa Abloy, the world's largest lock maker, said on Thursday it believed the U.S. residential market had bottomed out, lifting its shares, even as a stronger crown weighed on fourth-quarter profit.

Sales Performance Overview

The company's shares were up about 2.5% at 1000 GMT, taking their year-to-date rise to 8%, after CEO Nico Delvaux said that while the U.S. residential market remained challenging, "we definitely believe" it has "bottomed out".

Future Outlook and Projections

Assa Abloy, which generates about half its revenue in the U.S., has been hit by high borrowing and material costs that have hampered home building.

Operating profit dipped to 6.46 billion crowns ($718.1 million) in the quarter from 6.58 billion a year earlier, on organic sales growth of 4%. Analysts polled by LSEG had on average expected 6.47 billion crowns.

Overall sales fell 3% as currency effects had a negative impact of 10% due to a stronger crown.

AMERICAS BETTER THAN EXPECTED

Delvaux described 2025 as a year with a "challenging market environment marked by tariffs, high interest rates and heightened geopolitical uncertainty".

While he did not foresee a short-term recovery in U.S. new-builds, he said he felt "a bit more positive" on a recovery in "remove and replace" activity. The non-residential segment in North America was strong, he added.

Quarterly sales rose 5% organically in the Americas division, which JPMorgan analysts said was a "surprising" positive.

The company reported strong sales growth in the Nordics and Central Europe, while the residential market in China remained "very weak" in the quarter.

Assa Abloy, which competes with Allegion and Dormakaba, proposed a dividend of 6.40 crowns per share for 2025, up from 5.90 crowns the previous year and compared with an expected 6.19 crowns.

($1 = 8.9957 Swedish crowns)

(Reporting by Greta Rosen Fondahn. Editing by Terje Solsvik and Mark Potter)

Key Takeaways

  • Assa Abloy believes the U.S. residential market has bottomed out.
  • Shares rose by 2.5% despite profit challenges.
  • High borrowing and material costs affect home building.
  • Positive outlook for 'remove and replace' activity.
  • Strong sales growth in the Americas division.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the U.S. residential market?
The U.S. residential market refers to the sector of the economy that deals with the buying, selling, and renting of residential properties, including single-family homes, apartments, and condominiums.
What is operating profit?
Operating profit is the income generated from a company's core business operations, excluding deductions of interest and taxes. It reflects the efficiency of a company's operations.
What are organic sales growth?
Organic sales growth refers to the increase in sales generated by a company's existing operations, excluding any revenue from acquisitions or new business ventures.
What is a dividend?
A dividend is a portion of a company's earnings distributed to shareholders, typically in the form of cash or additional shares. It represents a return on investment for shareholders.

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