Finance

London's FTSE indexes fall as rate-cut bets fade and oil surge renews inflation fears

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 9, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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London's FTSE indexes fall as rate-cut bets fade and oil surge renews inflation fears
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March 9 (Reuters) - UK stocks fell to their lowest levels in nearly two months on Monday as rising oil prices intensified inflation fears and concerns over potential interest rate hikes amid ongoing

London's FTSE indexes fall as oil prices soar, inflation concerns mount

Market Performance and Economic Impact

March 9 (Reuters) - UK stocks closed at their lowest levels in about five weeks on Monday as rising oil prices intensified inflation fears and concerns over potential interest rate hikes amid the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.

FTSE Indexes and Market Trends

The blue-chip FTSE 100 slipped 0.3%, while the mid-cap FTSE 250 lost 1.8%. Both indexes dropped for the third straight day.

The benchmark index has now fallen about 7% from its record high hit on February 27 as tensions escalated in the Middle East.

Political Developments in Iran

Iran named Mojtaba Khamenei to succeed his father Ali Khamenei as supreme leader, signalling that hardliners remain firmly in charge in Tehran.

Oil Prices and Energy Sector Response

Shares of oil majors rose, with Shell firming 2.4% and BP up 2.2%, tracking crude prices that hit their highest since 2022, briefly breaking above $119 a barrel on concerns over prolonged shipping and supply disruptions stemming from the widening conflict. [O/R]

The UK's energy index gained 2.3%.

Inflation and Bank of England Policy

Soaring energy prices have renewed inflation worries and prompted a sharp pullback from February when two Bank of England rate cuts were priced in.

Money markets largely expect the Bank of England to leave interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year as the war drives up energy costs and raises the spectre of another inflation wave. [BOEWATCH]

Government Response and Fiscal Concerns

Traders were also weighing the potential costs of fresh government support for energy bills after Prime Minister Keir Starmer said easing the cost-of-living strain was at the top of his mind.

Any new support would further strain public finances and erode the buffer the government has to protect its fiscal rules.

Currency and Employment Data

British borrowing costs surged sharply, while sterling tumbled on Monday. [GBP/]

Labour Market Trends

Adding to the gloom, the latest REC/KPMG report on jobs indicated that starting salaries for permanent staff in Britain continued to decline, albeit at a slower pace, while the downturn in new permanent hires showed signs of easing.

(Reporting by Tharuniyaa Lakshmi in Bengaluru; Editing by Vijay Kishore and Ros Russell)

Key Takeaways

  • FTSE 100 slid ~1.1% and FTSE 250 dropped ~1.6% on March 9 as surging oil prices renewed inflation concerns and reversed rate‑cut expectations.
  • Oil topped $100 a barrel due to Middle East conflict and shipping disruptions, risking renewed inflation and complicating monetary policy outlooks.
  • Iran’s Assembly of Experts appointed Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader on March 8, reinforcing hard‑line control and feeding geopolitical instability.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 fall?
FTSE indexes fell due to surging oil prices, renewed inflation fears, and concerns over potential interest rate hikes.
How did rising oil prices impact the UK stock market?
Rising oil prices intensified inflation worries, causing broad market declines but boosted shares of oil majors like Shell and BP.
What are the current expectations for Bank of England interest rates?
Market pricing now indicates a more than 40% chance of a rate hike this year, reversing prior expectations for cuts.
Which UK stock sectors outperformed during the decline?
The UK energy index outperformed, rising 1.6% as oil majors gained amid higher crude prices.
What corporate news affected GSK's stock price?
GSK's shares dipped after the announcement that it will receive up to $690 million from Alfasigma for linerixibat rights.

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