Finance

GKN owner Melrose flags softer 2026 sales on supply-chain bottlenecks

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on February 27, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 2, 2026

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GKN owner Melrose flags softer 2026 sales on supply-chain bottlenecks
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Feb 27 (Reuters) - GKN Aerospace owner Melrose Industries on Friday posted an 8% rise in 2025 revenue, lifted by robust after-market demand and continued strength in its engines unit, but flagged

Melrose Projects Lower 2026 Sales Amid Supply Chain Challenges

By Aatrayee Chatterjee

Feb 27 (Reuters) - Melrose Industries on Friday forecast softer-than-expected 2026 revenue due to sector-wide supply chain constraints and tariff uncertainties, overshadowing strong 2025 results and sending its shares down as much as 13.5%.

Impact on Melrose's Financial Performance

Shares in the owner of GKN Aerospace were the biggest fallers on Britain's blue-chip FTSE-100 index.

CEO Peter Dilnot told Reuters that demand across civil and defence aerospace remained exceptionally strong but warned that bottlenecks at major manufacturers such as Airbus, Pratt & Whitney and GE were the key risk to meeting that demand.

"The supply chain remains fragile and is yet to recover to pre-COVID levels, with the operational environment expected to remain complex and dynamic in 2026," the company said.

Tariff Changes and Trade Policy

SHIFTING TARIFFS

Melrose's results come as uncertainty over U.S. trade policy intensifies, with Washington starting to collect a temporary 10% global import tariff while the administration works to raise the rate to 15%.

The shifting tariff landscape has left companies weighing the impact of short-term duties and the prospect of refunds after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down an earlier programme.

Revenue and Profit Forecasts

Dilnot said Melrose had largely mitigated the impact of changing U.S. tariffs, noting that defence work and operations covered under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade deal were exempt, while remaining exposure had been managed through contracts and agreements with suppliers and customers.

The London-listed company expects 2026 revenue of 3.75 billion pounds to 3.95 billion pounds ($5.05 billion-$5.32 billion), below analysts' estimate of 4.01 billion pounds, according to data compiled by LSEG.

The company also expects annual adjusted operating profit between 700 million and 750 million pounds.

For 2025, it posted an 8% rise in revenue to 3.59 billion pounds and a 23% increase in adjusted operating profit to 647 million pounds, lifted by solid aftermarket demand and higher defence spending driven by geopolitical tensions.

($1 = 0.7424 pounds)

(Reporting by Aatrayee Chatterjee in Bengaluru. Editing by Sonia Cheema and Mark Potter)

Key Takeaways

  • Melrose forecasts softer 2026 revenue of £3.75–3.95 billion, below analysts’ £4.01 billion estimate.
  • 2025 performance strong: revenue up ~8% to £3.59 billion, adjusted operating profit rose ~23% to £647 million.
  • Supply‑chain bottlenecks at major OEMs like Airbus and Pratt & Whitney pose the main risk to 2026 growth.
  • Shifting U.S. import tariffs add uncertainty, though exposure is largely mitigated via USMCA and contracts.
  • New £175 million share buyback and dividend increase reflect confidence despite cautious guidance.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Melrose forecasting softer 2026 revenue?
Because supply‑chain bottlenecks at OEMs like Airbus, Pratt & Whitney and GE, along with tariff uncertainties, are constraining production and revenue growth.
How did Melrose perform in 2025?
Melrose delivered strong 2025 results with revenue rising ~8% to £3.59 bn and adjusted operating profit up ~23% to £647 m.
How is Melrose managing tariff risks?
The company mitigated tariff impact through defense work and trade‑deal exemptions (e.g., US‑Mexico‑Canada agreement), alongside contractual arrangements.
What shareholder returns has Melrose announced?
Melrose introduced a new £175 m share buyback through March 2027 and increased its dividend, following completion of its prior buyback.

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