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Oil rises on concerns over escalating military tensions in the Middle East

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 24, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: April 24, 2026

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Oil rises on concerns over escalating military tensions in the Middle East
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By Sam Li and Helen Clark BEIJING, April 24 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Friday morning over fears of renewed military escalation in the Middle East after Iran released footage of commandos boarding

Oil prices end volatile session mixed but up sharply for the week on supply worries

Weekly Oil Market Performance and Geopolitical Influences

By Laila Kearney and Alex Lawler

Market Summary and Weekly Gains

NEW YORK/LONDON, April 24 (Reuters) - Oil prices whipsawed in volatile trade on Friday, but were higher on the week, as traders weighed supply disruptions against the potential restart of peace talks between the U.S. and Iran that could help limit those disruptions.

Brent crude futures settled at $105.33 a barrel, rising 26 cents, or about 0.3%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures settled at $94.40 a barrel, falling $1.45, or 1.5%.

For the week, Brent gained about 16% and WTI rose nearly 13%.

Impact of U.S.-Iran Peace Talks

Developments in Diplomatic Efforts

Crude futures gave back early gains after Reuters reported that Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi was expected to arrive in Islamabad late on Friday to discuss proposals for resuming peace talks with the U.S. after talks collapsed earlier this week.

Prices fell further after CNN reported that U.S. President Donald Trump was sending special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Pakistan for talks with Iran's foreign minister.

Later, Trump told Reuters that Iran plans to make an offer aimed at satisfying U.S. demands.

"They're making an offer and we'll have to see," Trump said.

Regional Tensions and Supply Disruptions

Military Escalation and Strait of Hormuz

Early in the session, prices rose 2% on fears of renewed military escalation in the region, the day after Iran released footage of commandos boarding a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz, and as progress stalled on re-opening the vital waterway.

"Traders are liquidating length ahead of an unusually unpredictable weekend and will readjust their positions Sunday night based on Iranian developments," said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

Shipping Data and Navigational Challenges

Navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, which before the war carried about a fifth of global oil output, remains effectively blocked. Iran's capture of two cargo ships highlighted Washington's difficulties in trying to control the passage.

Only five ships, including an Iranian oil products tanker, have moved through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours, shipping data showed.

U.S. Political Stance and Market Outlook

Statements from U.S. Leadership

On Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump said Iran may have loaded up its weaponry "a little bit" during a two-week ceasefire, but added that the U.S. military could eliminate it in a single day. On Wednesday, he said he would indefinitely extend the ceasefire to allow for further peace talks.

"As tensions have heightened this week since no meeting between the U.S. and Iran developed, an open-ended ceasefire will likely coincide with a continued conflict," said oil consultant Jim Ritterbusch of Ritterbusch and Associates.

Market Sensitivity and Future Price Predictions

"This favors even higher prices especially in Brent and diesel, the more sensitive markets to a continuation of this war." 

Haitong Futures said in a report that if peace talks fail to make progress by the end of April and fighting resumes, oil prices could climb to new highs for the year.

(Additional reporting by Sam Li and Helen Clark; Editing by Louise Heavens, Mark Potter, Nia Williams and David Gregorio)

Key Takeaways

  • Brent crude climbed to around $106.3 a barrel and WTI to about $96.92 amid increased military activity in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s aggressive moves, including mining operations and attacks on vessels, raising global supply concerns.
  • The U.S. has responded with a tightening naval blockade, seizure of Iranian-linked vessels, and directives to its military to “shoot and kill” Iranian boats laying mines, escalating fears of a broader conflict.
  • Analysts warn that if diplomatic talks between the U.S. and Iran falter by the end of April, oil prices could surge further—possibly to new highs for the year—especially as inventories risk falling below five-year seasonal lows.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did oil prices rise on Friday morning?
Oil prices rose due to fears of military escalation in the Middle East after Iran released footage of commandos boarding a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz and reports of air defenses engaging hostile targets.
How much did Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude prices increase?
Brent crude futures rose $1.23 or 1.17% to $106.3 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate futures were up $1.07 or 1.12% at $96.92.
What significance does the Strait of Hormuz hold for global oil markets?
Around 20% of global oil and gas flows through the Strait of Hormuz, making it a critical chokepoint for global energy supplies.
What could cause oil prices to reach new highs this year?
If U.S.-Iran talks fail and fighting resumes, oil prices could climb to new highs for the year due to market fears over supply disruptions.
How could prolonged disruption in the Strait of Hormuz affect oil inventories?
Prolonged disruption could push global crude and refined-product inventories below five-year seasonal lows, adding a supply-risk premium to prices.

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