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Oil surges amid warnings of supply shortages

Published by Wanda Rich

Posted on March 17, 2022

2 min read

· Last updated: February 8, 2026

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Oil refinery facilities reflecting rising oil prices amid supply shortage warnings - Global Banking & Finance Review
The image showcases the industrial facilities of the PCK Raffinerie oil refinery, highlighting the context of rising oil prices due to impending supply shortages as reported by the IEA.
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By Ahmad Ghaddar LONDON -Oil prices climbed 6% on Thursday after the International Energy Agency (IEA) said three million barrels a day (bpd) of Russian oil and products could be shut in from next month and despite the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates. The supply loss would be far greater than an […]

By Ahmad Ghaddar

LONDON -Oil prices climbed 6% on Thursday after the International Energy Agency (IEA) said three million barrels a day (bpd) of Russian oil and products could be shut in from next month and despite the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates.

The supply loss would be far greater than an expected drop in demand of one million bpd triggered by higher fuel prices, the IEA said in a report on Wednesday.

Benchmark Brent crude futures gained $6.41, or 6.5%, to $104.43 a barrel by 1205 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up $5.95, or 6.3%, to $100.99 a barrel.

Both contracts fell the previous day, following an unexpected jump in U.S. crude stockpiles and signs of progress in Russia-Ukraine peace talks.

Morgan Stanley raised its Brent price forecast by $20 for the third quarter 2022 to $120 a barrel, predicting a fall in Russian production of about 1 million bpd from April.

The fall will more than offset a downward global demand revision of about 600,000 bpd, the bank said.

“Both supply and demand are hurting but supply is currently hurting more and a tight oil market for the coming two quarters is to be expected,” bank SEB said.

Prices had sagged in the previous session on news that oil inventories in the United States climbed by 4.3 million barrels in the week to March 11 to 415.9 million barrels, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Analysts had expected a fall of 1.4 million barrels.

The oil market largely shrugged off a decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday to raise interest rates by one-quarter of a percentage point, as anticipated.

Sentiment was somewhat boosted after China pledged policies to boost financial markets and economic growth while a decline in new COVID-19 cases in China spurred hopes lockdowns will be lifted to allow factories to resume production.

(Additional reporting by Muyu Xu in Beijing; editing by Jason Neely)

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Brent crude oil?
Brent crude oil is a major trading classification of crude oil originating from the North Sea. It serves as a benchmark for pricing oil globally.
What are interest rates?
Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money or the return on savings, expressed as a percentage of the principal amount.
What are crude oil stockpiles?
Crude oil stockpiles refer to the reserves of crude oil held by countries or companies, which can be used to meet demand.

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