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OPEC+ supply boost unlikely despite call from U.S. for more oil, says Goldman

Published by maria gbaf

Posted on August 23, 2021

2 min read

· Last updated: February 15, 2026

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Oil refinery with OPEC+ logo symbolizing oil production discussions - Global Banking & Finance Review
Image depicting an oil refinery representing ongoing discussions within OPEC+ regarding oil production levels. This relates to Goldman Sachs' analysis on the U.S. call for increased oil output amidst the Delta variant concerns impacting global oil demand.
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(Reuters) – U.S. investment bank Goldman Sachs said a recent call by the United States to OPEC+ to boost oil output is unlikely to result in higher production over the short-term given the threat to demand from the coronavirus Delta variant. U.S. President Joe Biden’s administration on Wednesday urged the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and […]

Goldman Sachs: OPEC+ Unlikely to Increase Oil Production Soon

(Reuters) – U.S. investment bank Goldman Sachs said a recent call by the United States to OPEC+ to boost oil output is unlikely to result in higher production over the short-term given the threat to demand from the coronavirus Delta variant.

U.S. President Joe Biden’s administration on Wednesday urged the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, known as OPEC+, to boost output to tackle rising gasoline prices that they see as a threat to the global economic recovery.

“We don’t see the recent White House statement as threatening the current market deficit nor the pace of the rebalancing in 2H21,” Goldman Sachs said in a note dated Thursday, maintaining their year-end Brent forecast at $80 per barrel.

Brent futures slipped 0.4% to $71 a barrel on Friday, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was trading around $68.76. [O/R]

However, Goldman noted an additional hike in OPEC+ production by the year-end is required to counter recent supply disappointments globally and expects OPEC+ spare capacity to be fully normalized by spring 2022.

Last month, OPEC+ agreed to boost oil supply from August to cool prices that have climbed to 2-1/2 year highs.

The U.S. bank recently lowered its oil demand forecast for China, citing rising concerns over the spread of Delta variant.

“In the short term, the Delta threat to oil demand has already softened the global balance, with the deficit narrowing from 2.3 to 1.0 million barrels per day,” the bank said.

“Looking beyond the Delta headwind, we expect the demand recovery to continue alongside rising vaccination rates.”

(Reporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Sam Holmes)

Frequently Asked Questions

What did Goldman Sachs say about OPEC+ production?
Goldman Sachs stated that the U.S. call for OPEC+ to boost oil output is unlikely to result in higher production in the short term.
How has the Delta variant affected oil demand?
The Delta variant has softened global oil demand, narrowing the deficit from 2.3 to 1.0 million barrels per day.
What is the expectation for oil demand recovery?
Goldman Sachs expects the demand recovery to continue alongside rising vaccination rates, despite the current Delta headwind.
What did OPEC+ agree to do last month?
Last month, OPEC+ agreed to boost oil supply from August to cool prices that had reached 2-1/2 year highs.
What does Goldman Sachs predict for OPEC+ spare capacity?
Goldman Sachs anticipates that OPEC+ spare capacity will be fully normalized by September.

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