Finance

Russia’s VTB posts 11% profit drop in Jan–Feb, warns March will be more turbulent

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 26, 2026

1 min read

· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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Russia’s VTB posts 11% profit drop in Jan–Feb, warns March will be more turbulent
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MOSCOW, March 26 (Reuters) - Russia's second-largest bank VTB on Thursday reported an 11% year-on-year decline in its net profit for January-February to 68.8 billion roubles ($849.17 million). The

VTB Sees 11% Profit Decline in Jan–Feb, Warns March Will Be More Volatile

VTB's Financial Performance and Economic Outlook

Profit Decline in Early 2024

MOSCOW, March 26 (Reuters) - Russia's second-largest bank VTB on Thursday reported an 11% year-on-year decline in its net profit for January-February to 68.8 billion roubles ($849.17 million).

Market Conditions and Volatility

Calm Start to the Year

The first two months of the year were calm, First Deputy CEO Dmitry Pyanov said, adding that March will be more turbulent due to the war in the Middle East and a worsening situation with yuan settlements.

Central Bank Policy Response

Pyanov said weak economic activity may prompt the Russian central bank to cut rates more actively. It last reduced its key rate by 50 basis points to 15% on March 20.

Rouble Outlook and Fiscal Policy

Impact of Oil Prices and Fiscal Rule

Positive Scenario for the Rouble

Pyanov said high oil prices and the decision to delay adjustments to the government's fiscal rule until 2027 were shaping a positive scenario for the rouble in 2026.

($1 = 81.0205 roubles)

(Reporting by Elena Fabrichnaya, writing by Anna Peverieri; Editing by Mark Trevelyan)

Key Takeaways

  • VTB’s net profit fell 11% y‑o‑y to 68.8 billion roubles in Jan–Feb 2026 (~USD 849 million).
  • March expected to be more volatile due to Middle East tensions and yuan settlement disruptions. Central bank lowered key rate to ~15.5 %, signaling potential further easing.
  • High oil prices and delayed adjustments to Russia’s fiscal rule until 2027 support a favorable outlook for the rouble amid weak economic activity.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did VTB's profit decline in January-February 2024?
VTB reported an 11% year-on-year decline in net profit for January-February 2024, totaling 68.8 billion roubles.
What factors may cause turbulence in March for VTB?
VTB cited the war in the Middle East and worsening yuan settlements as reasons for anticipated turbulence in March.
How could weak economic activity affect Russia's central bank policies?
Weak economic activity may prompt the Russian central bank to cut rates more actively.
What is shaping a positive scenario for the rouble in 2026?
High oil prices and delaying fiscal rule adjustments until 2027 are contributing to a positive outlook for the rouble in 2026.
What recent action did the Russian central bank take regarding interest rates?
On March 20, the Russian central bank reduced its key rate by 50 basis points to 15%.

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