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Shell warns Australia against taxing LNG windfall profits

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 30, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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Shell warns Australia against taxing LNG windfall profits
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SYDNEY, March 31 (Reuters) - Shell has warned Australia against introducing a windfall tax on gas exporters, saying such a move would deter investment and undermine energy security as LNG prices surge

Gas majors warn Australia against taxing LNG windfall profits

Industry Response to Proposed LNG Windfall Tax

By Christine Chen and Helen Clark

SYDNEY/PERTH, March 31 (Reuters) - Gas majors including Shell and Chevron warned Australia against introducing a windfall tax on gas exporters, saying it would deter investment and undermine energy security as LNG prices surge amid disruption caused by the Iran war.

Australia became the world's second-largest LNG supplier after Iranian strikes forced Qatar to halt production, with its export revenue set to surge due to lower supply caused by the conflict.

Canberra is weighing options to capitalise on the higher prices, with Prime Minister Anthony Albanese asking the Treasury Department to model a tax on LNG exports and suggest reforms to ‌the Petroleum Resources Rent Tax (PRRT). A suggested windfall tax could exceed 25%.

Gas Majors' Warnings and Concerns

Cecile Wake, chair of Shell Australia, which exports gas from the Queensland Curtis LNG project and operates the floating LNG project Prelude off northern Australia, warned against "short-term fixes" in response to the energy crisis.

"At times like this, there is increased risk that strong and stable policy settings are sidelined by short‑term measures or populist rhetoric," she told the Australian Domestic Gas Outlook conference on Tuesday. 

Potential Impact of Proposed Policies

POTENTIAL IMPACT OF PROPOSED POLICIES

The proposed policies would "erode project values and render many of Australia's future growth opportunities uneconomic and uncompetitive compared to global alternatives," Wake said.

She said high commodity prices "already flow through to Australians through higher corporate income tax and PRRT receipts."

Market Trends and Government Actions

Asia spot LNG prices have doubled to three-year highs since the conflict in Iran began in February. Profits earned on long-term contracts linked to oil prices, which make up 75% of Australia's export shipments, are also expected to surge in three to six months.

Late last year Canberra introduced a gas market review that may reserve 15%-25% of east coast and Northern Territory exports from 2027. A more detailed policy is expected later this year.

Chevron and Santos' Positions

Chevron called a windfall profits tax a "knee-jerk", "sugar hit" policy and the "exact opposite" of what Australia needed.

"There are discussions of market interventions, taxes and such," Danny Woodall, Chevron Australia's director of operations and maintenance, told the conference.

"It's a moment to reject that and to consider how we can encourage more investments so that we can secure that supply," he added.

Australia exported A$65 billion ($44.5 billion) of LNG last year, but gas producers have been criticised for low tax payments under rules that let them recoup construction costs before paying tax. 

Santos CEO Kevin Gallagher said the "narrative that LNG exports take money out of Australia" was wrong and "every LNG tanker that departs Gladstone represents around A$4.5 million in royalties paid to the state".

Calls for Supportive Policy Framework

"Australia must have a policy framework that abandons ideology about 'fossil fuels' and instead encourages companies to invest, drill and produce more gas," he told the event.

Gladstone LNG is the only of the three Queensland export consortia to source third-party domestic gas while the others are net suppliers.

Exploration and Future Projects

Shell has been exploring in the frontier location of the Taroom Trough in Queensland while earlier in March APLNG was approved for a drill program of close to 1,700 new coal seam gas wells that could run out to 2081.

Additional Information

($1 = 1.4603 Australian dollars)

(Reporting by Christine Chen in Sydney and Helen Clark in Perth; Editing by Bernadette Baum, Byron Kaye and Lincoln Feast.)

Key Takeaways

  • Shell warns a windfall tax could erode future LNG projects’ viability and investment attractiveness.
  • Australia’s LNG export revenues have surged as global supplies dwindle following disruptions to Iran and Qatar, benefiting exporters disproportionately.
  • Australia’s government faces criticism for low taxing of gas exports (via PRRT and corporate tax) while exploring new revenue tools including LNG export levies.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Shell warning Australia against a windfall tax on LNG exports?
Shell argues that a windfall tax could deter investment and undermine Australia's energy security by making future projects uneconomic and uncompetitive.
How has the Iran conflict affected Australia's LNG export revenue?
Disruption of global supply from Iran and Qatar has increased LNG prices, boosting Australia's export revenue as it became the world's second-largest supplier.
What changes is the Australian government considering for LNG export taxation?
The government is considering imposing a windfall tax on LNG exports and reforming the Petroleum Resources Rent Tax (PRRT) to capitalize on higher prices.
How have Australians benefited from higher LNG prices according to Shell?
Shell claims higher LNG prices are already reflected in increased corporate income and PRRT tax receipts flowing to Australians.
What is the value of Australia's recent LNG exports?
Australia exported A$65 billion ($44.5 billion) in LNG last year but has faced criticism for low tax payments by gas producers.

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