Finance

Sterling lingers near one-month low ahead of BoE's Bailey

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on February 24, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: April 2, 2026

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Sterling lingers near one-month low ahead of BoE's Bailey
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By Niket Nishant LONDON, Feb 24 (Reuters) - The pound was little changed on Tuesday after eking out modest gains in the last two sessions, as traders awaited testimony from Bank of England Governor

Pound hovers near one-month low as BoE’s Bailey set to testify

By Niket Nishant

Sterling Near One-Month Low Ahead of BoE Testimony

LONDON, Feb 24 (Reuters) - The pound was little changed on Tuesday after eking out modest gains in the last two sessions, as traders awaited testimony from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and monitored potential fallout from new U.S. tariffs.

FX Levels Versus Dollar and Euro

Sterling was trading at $1.3489 against the dollar, close to its lowest for a month. It was steady against the euro, which traded at 87.34 pence.

Bailey’s Hearing and Rate Outlook

Bailey is expected to address parliament's Treasury committee later in the day, where he may offer more insight into his decision to vote to leave rates unchanged at the BoE's meeting earlier this month.

Market Pricing for Rate Cuts

The Monetary Policy Committee held policy after a narrowly split vote. Markets show traders think the central bank will cut rates twice this year to take the benchmark rate to 3.25%.

Economist Poll on Timing

The timing of any cuts remains uncertain, however, according to a poll of economists conducted by Reuters. 

"Commentary that he has seen enough to justify a March rate cut could firm up that pricing in money markets and even push the market to speculating on more than 50 basis points in BoE easing this year," ING's global head of markets Chris Turner said.

External Risks: Tariffs and Politics

TARIFFS, POLITICAL RISKS KEEP INVESTORS JITTERY

U.S. Tariff Timeline and Uncertainty

Investors are also contending with uncertainty over U.S. tariffs. An initial 10% tariff came into effect at a minute past midnight on Tuesday, according to a Customs notice. 

It is unclear when U.S. President Donald Trump's promised increase to 15% might take effect.

Domestic Data Shaping Sterling

However, analysts have turned to domestic factors to assess sterling's appeal in recent weeks.

Jobs and Inflation Readings

Last week, data showed that Britain's jobless rate rose in the fourth quarter of 2025, while inflation in January hit its lowest since March last year, reinforcing bets on rate cuts which typically weigh on a currency.

Manchester By-Election Watch

Also on the radar is an election in Manchester's Gorton and Denton constituency on Thursday, seen as an important test for Prime Minister Keir Starmer and his Labour Party.

Political Sentiment and Allegations

Declining poll numbers and anger over allegations that his chosen U.S. ambassador, Peter Mandelson, once leaked government information to late sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, have given an edge to his rivals. Mandelson has denied wrongdoing.

(Reporting by Niket Nishant. Editing by Amanda Cooper and Mark Potter)

Key Takeaways

  • The pound is holding near a one‑month low as traders await remarks from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey to the Treasury Committee.
  • Money markets continue to price roughly two BoE cuts in 2026, keeping pressure on sterling.
  • Fresh U.S. tariffs add uncertainty for global trade and risk sentiment influencing GBP.
  • Recent UK data showed a softer backdrop: higher Q4 2025 jobless rate and easing January inflation.
  • Domestic politics, including the Gorton & Denton by‑election and Mandelson controversy, add to UK risk factors.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main topic?
Sterling is hovering near a one‑month low as markets await BoE Governor Andrew Bailey’s testimony and weigh the impact of new U.S. tariffs and softer UK data.
Why is the pound under pressure?
Expectations for BoE rate cuts in 2026, combined with softer UK labor and inflation figures and uncertainty from U.S. tariffs, are dampening sterling’s appeal.
When could the BoE cut rates?
Markets currently price in about two cuts in 2026, with timing dependent on incoming inflation and labor data and any guidance from Governor Bailey.
What political events are influencing sentiment?
The Manchester Gorton & Denton by‑election and controversy surrounding former ambassador Peter Mandelson add domestic political risk to the UK outlook.

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