Finance

Swedish central bank's Thedeen says inflation risks have increased, pointing to Middle East conflict 

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 22, 2026

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· Last updated: April 23, 2026

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Swedish central bank's Thedeen says inflation risks have increased, pointing to Middle East conflict 
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STOCKHOLM, April 22 (Reuters) - Swedish central bank Governor Erik Thedeen said on Wednesday the risk has risen somewhat that inflation could be higher than the Riksbank expected a few weeks ago.

Swedish Central Bank Warns of Higher Inflation Risks Linked to Middle East Conflict

Riksbank Governor Highlights Inflation Concerns Amid Global Tensions

Rising Inflation Risks Noted by Governor Erik Thedeen

STOCKHOLM, April 22 (Reuters) - Swedish central bank Governor Erik Thedeen said on Wednesday the risk has risen somewhat that inflation could be higher than the Riksbank expected a few weeks ago.

Impact of Middle East Conflict on Global Supply Chains

Thedeen said in a statement the Middle East war is causing a negative supply disruption to the world economy, in turn increasing inflationary pressures.

Energy Prices and Inflationary Pressures

“Even if a formal agreement on the opening of the Strait of Hormuz were to materialise relatively soon, inflationary pressures and high energy prices will not level off at the stroke of a pen," he said.

Potential Policy Response from the Riksbank

If there is an increased risk of high inflation that could deviate permanently from the Riksbank's 2% target, the bank may need to act to prevent it from happening, he said.

(Reporting by Anna Ringstrom, editing by Louise Rasmussen)

Key Takeaways

  • Thedeen warns that geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are causing supply disruptions that increase inflation risks beyond recent Riksbank forecasts, even if crucial shipping lanes reopen soon. (thepeninsulaqatar.com)
  • Deputy Governor Per Jansson echoes the need for vigilance, noting spillover effects from the conflict and elevated energy prices, though current inflation is lower and risks now appear more contained than in 2022. (energynews.oedigital.com)
  • Despite low starting inflation giving Sweden some policy margin, sustained global shocks could still push inflation above the 2% target—prompting the Riksbank to consider action if risks become persistent. (energynews.oedigital.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why does the Swedish central bank see increased inflation risks?
The bank highlights negative supply disruptions from the Middle East conflict, which amplify inflationary pressures.
How could Middle East tensions affect Sweden's inflation?
Disruptions in the region are driving up global energy prices and supply costs, potentially increasing Swedish inflation.
What action might the Riksbank take if inflation remains high?
The Riksbank may intervene to steer inflation back to its 2% target if risks of persistently high inflation rise.
Will an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz immediately lower energy prices?
According to the central bank governor, inflationary pressures and high energy prices will not subside instantly, even with an agreement.

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