Finance

Traders place $760 million bet on falling oil ahead of Hormuz announcement 

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 17, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 18, 2026

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Traders place $760 million bet on falling oil ahead of Hormuz announcement 
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By Amanda Cooper LONDON, April 17 (Reuters) - Investors placed a bet worth about $760 million on a falling oil price around 20 minutes before Iran's foreign minister announced on Friday that the

Traders Place $760 Million Bet on Falling Oil Before Hormuz Decision

Major Oil Trades and Market Reactions Amid Middle East Tensions

By Amanda Cooper

Timing and Scale of the $760 Million Bet

LONDON, April 17 (Reuters) - Investors placed a bet worth about $760 million on a falling oil price around 20 minutes before Iran's foreign minister announced on Friday that the Strait of Hormuz was open, another sizeable wager on the world's most traded commodity ahead of major announcements in the course of the Middle East war.

Concerns Over Well-Timed Trades

Large, well‑timed trades in recent months have drawn concern from U.S. lawmakers and legal experts that decisions around war and diplomacy can give some traders an edge in volatile and opaque derivatives markets.

Key Details of the April 17 Trades
  • Between 1224 GMT and 1225 GMT investors sold a combined 7,990 lots of Brent crude futures, according to LSEG data.
  • Based on the price at the time, these trades were worth about $760 million.
  • At 1245 GMT, Iran's foreign minister posted on X that passage for all commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz was declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire, in line with the ceasefire in Lebanon.
  • The announcement pushed crude down as much as 11% on the day in the minutes that followed.

Previous Large Bets Before Key Announcements

  • Reuters reported that on April 7 that bets worth around $950 million took place just hours ahead of the U.S. and Iran announcing a two-week ceasefire. On March 23, investors sold $500 million in oil futures 15 minutes before U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement that he would delay attacks on Iran's energy infrastructure, triggering a 15% drop in the crude price.

Regulatory Response and Investigations

  • The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission is investigating a series of oil futures trades, including those on March 23 and April 7, that were placed shortly before major policy shifts by  Trump related to the war in Iran, a person familiar with the matter said on Wednesday.

(Reporting by Amanda Cooper; Editing by Elisa Martinuzzi and Kirsten Donovan)

Key Takeaways

  • Massive $760 million Brent futures sell-off occurred 20 minutes before Iran’s announcement, driving an ~11% intraday oil drop.
  • This follows prior large bets—about $950 million before a U.S.–Iran ceasefire and $500–580 million ahead of a Trump postponement announcement—highlighting a repeat pattern of suspicious market timing.
  • The U.S. CFTC has launched a formal investigation, requesting detailed trader identity data and signaling heightened regulatory scrutiny of informed oil‑futures trading.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did traders bet on falling oil prices before the Hormuz announcement?
Traders placed a $760 million bet against oil prices about 20 minutes before the announcement that the Strait of Hormuz was open.
What caused crude oil prices to drop after the Hormuz announcement?
Crude oil prices fell as much as 11% after Iran's foreign minister declared the Strait of Hormuz open for commercial vessels during a ceasefire.
Who is investigating the oil futures trades placed before major policy announcements?
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission is investigating oil futures trades made before significant announcements about the Middle East conflict.

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