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UK home buyer sentiment hit by worries stemming from Middle East conflict, RICS says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 12, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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UK home buyer sentiment hit by worries stemming from Middle East conflict, RICS says
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LONDON, March 12 (Reuters) - Britain's housing market has lost steam as demand faded from buyers concerned about the implications of the Middle East conflict and possible increases in mortgage rates

UK Housing Market Confidence Falls Amid Middle East Tensions and Mortgage Rate Fears

Survey Reveals Declining Buyer Demand and Market Sentiment

LONDON, March 12 (Reuters) - Britain's housing market has lost steam as demand faded from buyers concerned about the implications of the Middle East conflict and possible increases in mortgage rates on the back of energy price rises, a survey showed on Thursday.

Key Findings from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) Survey

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors' measure of new buyer enquiries fell sharply to a net balance of -26 in February, down from -15 in January. It was the lowest reading since December.

The survey of chartered surveyors covered February 23 to March 9, straddling the start of the U.S.-Israel war on Iran on February 28.

Impact of Geopolitical Tensions and Energy Prices

"The deterioration in the geopolitical backdrop has clearly weighed on confidence. The recent rise in oil and energy prices has also increased the likelihood that mortgage rates will remain higher for longer," Tarrant Parsons, RICS' head of market research & analytics, said.

Detailed RICS Report Highlights

  • Sales and Price Expectations
    • Near-term sales expectations slipped to a net balance of-2, the weakest since November.
    • February's gauge of house prices fell to -12 from -10 in January. A Reuters poll of economists had pointed to a reading of -9.
    • Near-term house price expectations dropped to a net balance of -18 from -6.
  • Rental Market and Landlord Activity
    • Tenant demand held stable in three months to February.
    • New landlord instructions stayed deeply negative

(Reporting by Suban Abdulla, editing by Andy Bruce)

Key Takeaways

  • RICS new buyer enquiries fell to –26 in February, the weakest since December, as concerns over the Middle East conflict and rising energy prices weighed on sentiment (moneyweek.com)
  • Near‑term sales expectations dropped to –2 and house price gauges eased (price change –12, one‑year expectations –18), highlighting elevated caution among prospective buyers (en.wikipedia.org)
  • The geopolitical turmoil triggered an oil price spike—from about $70 to over $110 per barrel—raising inflation and the threat of prolonged elevated mortgage rates, further undermining housing market confidence (en.wikipedia.org)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What is causing the decline in UK housing market sentiment?
Concerns about the Middle East conflict and potential rises in mortgage rates due to energy price increases are reducing buyer confidence.
How did new buyer enquiries perform in February according to RICS?
The RICS measure of new buyer enquiries fell to a net balance of -26 in February, down from -15 in January, the lowest since December.
How are expectations for house prices and sales changing?
Near-term house price expectations dropped and sales expectations slipped to their weakest since November.
Has tenant demand or landlord activity changed recently?
Tenant demand remained stable over the past three months, while new landlord instructions stayed deeply negative.

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