Finance

UK shop price inflation edges up as Iran war adds to retailer concerns

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 30, 2026

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· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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UK shop price inflation edges up as Iran war adds to retailer concerns
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LONDON, March 31 (Reuters) - British store chains raised their prices a bit more quickly this month and the Iran war risks further pushing up inflation, a retail industry group said on Tuesday. Shop

UK Shop Price Inflation Increases Amid Rising Risks from Iran Conflict

Overview of Recent Shop Price Inflation Trends

LONDON, March 31 (Reuters) - British store chains raised their prices a bit more quickly this month and the Iran war risks further pushing up inflation, a retail industry group said on Tuesday.

Shop price inflation edged up to 1.2% in the 12 months to March, above the 1.1% increase in February but below its three-month average of 1.3%, the British Retail Consortium said.

Impact of Middle East Conflict on Inflation

"Higher costs resulting from the conflict in the Middle East are starting to feed into supply chains. While retailers will work with their suppliers to mitigate the impact on prices as far as possible, inflation will rise," BRC's Chief Executive Helen Dickinson said.

Survey Details and Market Context

Key Findings from the BRC Survey

  • Food inflation: 3.4% ​in annual terms in March was down from ​3.5% a month earlier as prices of dairy fell
  • Non-food items: Prices rose by 0.1% after falling by 0.1% in the 12 months to February
  • Regulatory factors: New labour market and healthy foods laws could also ​increase retailers' costs ​and push ⁠up inflation, the BRC said

Bank of England's Response

Focus on Food Prices and Public Expectations
  • The Bank of England is keeping a close eye on food prices as it believes they influence ​public inflation ⁠expectations, which rose to their highest since 2023 in March

Survey Timing and Geopolitical Context

  • The BRC survey was conducted between March 1 and March 7, shortly after the U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran started

(Reporting by Suban Abdulla Editing by William Schomberg)

Key Takeaways

  • Shop price inflation edged up to 1.2% in March (versus 1.1% in February), though still below its three‑month average of 1.3% — according to the British Retail Consortium (BRC).
  • Food inflation held steady at 3.4%, slightly down from 3.5% previously, driven by lower dairy prices; non‑food prices ticked up 0.1% after a 0.1% fall in February.
  • Retailers warn that escalating Middle East conflict raises supply‑chain costs, while new labour and food‑regulation laws could push prices further; the Bank of England is watching food costs closely given their impact on consumer inflation expectations.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the UK shop price inflation rate for March 2024?
UK shop price inflation edged up to 1.2% in the 12 months to March 2024, according to the British Retail Consortium.
How is the Iran conflict affecting UK inflation?
The Iran war is contributing to higher supply chain costs, which could further push up inflation in the UK.
What happened to UK food inflation in March 2024?
Annual food inflation in the UK for March 2024 was 3.4%, slightly down from 3.5% in February due to falling dairy prices.
How did non-food prices change in the UK in March 2024?
Prices for non-food items rose by 0.1% in the 12 months to March after falling by 0.1% in February.
Why is the Bank of England monitoring food prices closely?
The Bank of England is watching food prices closely because they influence public inflation expectations, which rose to their highest since 2023 in March.

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