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Almost a third of Russian seaborne oil export potential stuck in tankers, JPMorgan says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on November 13, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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Almost a third of Russian seaborne oil export potential stuck in tankers, JPMorgan says
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MOSCOW (Reuters) -Around 1.4 million barrels per day of Russian oil, or almost a third of the country's seaborne exporting potential, remain in tankers as unloading slows due to U.S. sanctions against

Almost a third of Russian seaborne oil export potential stuck in tankers, JPM...

Impact of Sanctions on Russian Oil Exports

MOSCOW (Reuters) -Around 1.4 million barrels per day of Russian oil, or almost a third of the country's seaborne exporting potential, remain in tankers as unloading slows due to U.S. sanctions against Rosneft and Lukoil, JPMorgan said on Thursday.

Current Export Stability

The U.S. set a November 21 deadline to wind down all dealings with Rosneft and Lukoil, in the first direct sanctions imposed on Russia by President Donald Trump since the start of his second term.

Challenges Ahead for Unloading

The sanctions have put a strain on Lukoil's business, forcing it to declare the sale of foreign assets and disrupting its operations in Iraq, pump stations in Finland and a refinery in Bulgaria.

Market Response and Future Outlook

Trading sources have told Reuters that overall Russian oil exports have been relatively stable so far.

JPMorgan said with a cut-off date of November 21 for receiving oil supplied by the sanctioned companies, unloading cargoes could become significantly more challenging thereafter.

"Russia's oil exports are entering a new phase of disruption as sanctions targeting Rosneft and Lukoil are set to take effect, prompting its two largest customers — India and China — to sharply reduce their December purchases," it said.

Traders told Reuters earlier this week that many vessels loading at Russia's western ports – Primorsk, Ust-Luga and Novorossisk – list Port Said or the Suez Canal as their destination, but later continue on to Asian ports, mainly India and China.

They expect that unsold oil may eventually be shipped to China, with Russian crude being sold in Asia at the deepest discounts in the past year.

(Reporting by Reuters; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

Key Takeaways

  • 1.4 million barrels of Russian oil stuck in tankers.
  • U.S. sanctions target Rosneft and Lukoil.
  • November 21 deadline for dealings with sanctioned companies.
  • India and China reduce December oil purchases.
  • Russian crude sold at deep discounts in Asia.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is seaborne oil export?
Seaborne oil export refers to the transportation of crude oil or refined petroleum products via ships from one country to another. It is a critical component of global oil trade.
What is crude oil?
Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. It is extracted and refined to produce fuels and other products.

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