Finance

Ukraine has enough diesel for March, but April uncertain, says consultancy

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 23, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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Ukraine has enough diesel for March, but April uncertain, says consultancy
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KYIV, March 23 (Reuters) - Ukraine's diesel market is supplied through to the end of March, and daily imports have risen by 3% to nearly 17,000 metric tons, but supplies for April are uncertain amid

Ukraine has enough diesel for March, April volumes formed for 70%, says ministry

Ukraine's Diesel Supply Situation and Market Dynamics

Current Diesel Supply Status

KYIV, March 23 (Reuters) - The Ukrainian diesel market is fully supplied for March, while supplies for April have already been secured for approximately 70%, the energy ministry said on Monday.

Impact of Russian Missile Strikes on Fuel Imports

After Russian missile strikes virtually destroyed Ukraine's domestic refining capacity, it became almost entirely dependent on imported fuel, sourcing supplies from western, central and southern Europe.

Government Measures to Ensure Fuel Stability

"The government holds regular coordination meetings with market participants and relevant authorities to prevent any disruptions to fuel supplies. The situation remains under control," the ministry said in a written statement.

Market Analysis and Import Trends

Supply Levels and Import Volumes

Analysts at Enkorr consultancy said earlier on Monday that the fuel market was fully supplied until the end of March, and daily imports have risen by 3% to nearly 17,000 metric tonnes.

At the current pace of imports, the monthly total could reach 522,000 tons in March, almost the same volume as in March 2025, they noted.

Uncertainty for April Supplies

However, there is no clarity on the situation in April, with suppliers delaying decisions until the last moment, Enkorr said in a report.

"Talks are ongoing, but so far no one is naming specific volumes, guarantees or, let alone, premiums," the consultancy quoted one trader as saying.

Price Fluctuations and Market Response

Another trader added that wholesale diesel prices had jumped by nearly 50% in less than a month because of the Middle East war.

Expert Opinions and Future Outlook

Consultancy Insights

"There is no shortage, nor is one expected," Serhiy Kuyun, head of A95 consultancy, said on Facebook, adding that fuel suppliers have confirmed deliveries for April, although the price has not yet been set.

Potential for Increased Rapeseed Plantings

Impact of Global Events on Biodiesel Feedstocks

Ukraine's deputy economy minister told Reuters last week that the country could boost rapeseed plantings by a third to 1.5 million hectares if the conflict in Iran drags on, as soaring global fuel prices lift demand for biodiesel feedstocks.

(Reporting by Pavel PolityukEditing by Alexandra Hudson)

Key Takeaways

  • Ukraine is importing nearly 17,000 metric tons of diesel per day, sufficient for March (≈522,000 tons monthly)
  • Domestic refining remains crippled; reliance on imports from Europe persists
  • April outlook is cloudy as suppliers delay commitments and diesel prices have surged due to Middle East conflict

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ukraine's diesel supply secure for March 2024?
Yes, current imports ensure Ukraine's diesel market is supplied through the end of March 2024.
Why is Ukraine dependent on imported diesel?
Ukraine relies on imports after Russian missile strikes destroyed its domestic refining capacity.
Where does Ukraine source its diesel imports?
Ukraine imports diesel from western, central, and southern Europe.
Are wholesale diesel prices rising in Ukraine?
Yes, wholesale diesel prices have jumped by nearly 50% in less than a month due to the Middle East conflict.
What factors cause uncertainty for Ukraine's diesel supply in April?
Uncertainty is due to rising prices and suppliers delaying decisions about volumes and guarantees.

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