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UK's Barratt Redrow keeps annual forecast but says Iran war clouds visibility

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 15, 2026

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· Last updated: April 15, 2026

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UK's Barratt Redrow keeps annual forecast but says Iran war clouds visibility
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April 15 (Reuters) - Britain's largest homebuilder Barratt Redrow reaffirmed its full-year profit and home completion forecasts on Wednesday, but warned of limited visibility beyond the current fiscal

UK's Barratt Redrow warns of cost pressures as it slashes land targets, cuts spending

Barratt Redrow's Strategic Response to Market Challenges

April 15 (Reuters) - Britain's largest homebuilder Barratt Redrow on Wednesday slashed its land spending and approval targets, saying costs may rise in the next fiscal year due to higher energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict.

Land Spending and Approval Targets Reduced

The group had already trimmed land approvals - meaning it would seek building approval for fewer plots - in February, and is now further scaling back it back by 25%-30%, citing fewer attractive opportunities and current market conditions.

Resilient Demand Amid Market Uncertainty

However, it said demand remained resilient, with its net private reservation rate - a measure of how many new homes a housebuilder is selling or leasing - including bulk rental deals rising 6.3% in the 13 weeks to March 29, helping lift shares nearly 3%.

Risks and Warnings Across the Housebuilding Sector

Sector-wide Defensive Stance

RISKS FLAGGED ACROSS HOUSEBUILDING SECTOR

The defensive stance follows warnings from across the sector, including from Berkeley, which has signalled slower profit growth and paused land buying.

Competitor Concerns

Rivals Taylor Wimpey and Bellway have flagged risks from higher building costs and interest rate uncertainty squeezing affordability for buyers.

Cost Inflation and Energy Price Impact

Barratt Redrow maintained its guidance for 2% build cost inflation overall for fiscal 2026, but warned that higher energy costs are likely to be reflected in increased building material costs in the year from July 2026 to June 2027.

The sector is bracing for higher oil and energy prices, which could drive up costs for energy‑intensive materials such as bricks and plasterboard,  prompting builders to plan for alternative supply options.

Financial Outlook and Analyst Perspectives

Land Spend Reduction Strategy

CUTTING LAND SPEND A WISE CALL

RBC analyst Anthony Codling said the move to limit land buying is a wise call, noting that "Barratt is doing all that it can".

The company said it now expects to approve between 7,000 and 9,000 plots this financial year and cut its land spending estimate to 700 million-800 million pounds ($949.6 million to $1.09 billion) as it becomes "even more selective" in an uncertain environment.

Profit Guidance and Future Outlook

Barratt Redrow reaffirmed its profit and home completion forecasts for the year through June and now expects net cash ahead of previous guidance due to delayed building remediation payments and reduced investment.  

However, outgoing CEO David Thomas warned of limited visibility beyond the current financial year amid rising geopolitical tensions.

Additional Information

($1 = 0.7372 pounds)

(Reporting by Raechel Thankam Job in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Jan Harvey)

Key Takeaways

  • Reaffirmed FY26 adjusted profit (consensus £558 m–£617 m) and home completions (17,200–17,800 units including ~600 JVs) in line with guidance (barrattredrow.co.uk)
  • War in Iran fuels increases in energy‑intensive materials and hinders expectations of near‑term rate cuts, challenging cost control and buyer affordability (realty.economictimes.indiatimes.com)
  • Market sentiment has turned cautious: Morgan Stanley downgraded Barratt Redrow’s rating and slashed its price target, citing geopolitical risks and affordability headwinds (uk.finance.yahoo.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the Iran war affecting Barratt Redrow's outlook?
The Iran war is creating higher costs and may keep interest rates high, limiting Barratt Redrow's visibility beyond the current fiscal year.
Did Barratt Redrow change its guidance for the current year?
No, Barratt Redrow maintained its existing profit and home completion forecasts for the current year.
Why does Barratt Redrow see limited visibility beyond this year?
Ongoing global conflicts like the Iran war are increasing financial uncertainty, making future forecasting difficult.

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