Finance

ECB cuts growth forecast again, raises 2025 inflation outlook

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 6, 2025

1 min read

· Last updated: January 25, 2026

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ECB cuts growth forecast again, raises 2025 inflation outlook
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ECB Lowers Euro Zone Growth Forecast, Adjusts Inflation Projections

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - The European Central Bank cut its economic growth expectations for the euro zone once more on Thursday and raised its projection for inflation this year, even as it predicted price growth back at target in 2026.

Having tamed once-runaway prices, the ECB has been steadily cutting interest rates for most of the past year and lowered its deposit rate for the sixth time on Thursday, with more easing still likely.

The euro zone's central bank now expects gross domestic product (GDP) in the currency bloc to expand by 0.9% this year, below the 1.1% predicted three months ago. Growth will then accelerate to 1.2% in 2026.

Inflation is now seen at 2.3% this year, above the 2.1% predicted in December, before falling to 1.9% in 2026.

The following are the ECB's projections for inflation and economic growth. Previous projections from December are in brackets.

2025 2026 2027

GDP Growth: 0.9 (1.1%) 1.2 (1.4%) 1.3% (1.3%)

Inflation: 2.3 (2.1%) 1.9 (1.9%) 2.0% (2.1%)

(Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Catherine Evans)

Key Takeaways

  • ECB cuts euro zone growth forecast for 2025.
  • Inflation outlook raised for the current year.
  • Interest rates have been steadily cut over the past year.
  • GDP growth expected to accelerate by 2026.
  • Price growth predicted to stabilize by 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the ECB's revised GDP growth forecast for this year?
The ECB now expects the euro zone's GDP to grow by 0.9% this year, down from the previous prediction of 1.1%.
How has the ECB adjusted its inflation outlook?
The ECB has raised its inflation projection for this year to 2.3%, up from the earlier estimate of 2.1%.
What are the ECB's inflation predictions for 2026?
The ECB forecasts inflation to decrease to 1.9% in 2026, following the 2.3% expected this year.
How many times has the ECB lowered its deposit rate recently?
The ECB has cut its deposit rate for the sixth time on Thursday, indicating more easing may be likely.
What is the ECB's growth forecast for 2025?
The ECB projects GDP growth of 1.2% for 2025, slightly down from the previous estimate of 1.4%.

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