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Exclusive-German economic institutes revise up 2025 growth forecast to 0.2%, sources say

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 23, 2025

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· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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Exclusive-German economic institutes revise up 2025 growth forecast to 0.2%, sources say
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By Klaus Lauer and Holger Hansen BERLIN (Reuters) -Five leading German economic institutes have nudged their 2025 growth forecast for Europe's largest economy up to 0.2% and predicted further rises of

German Economic Institutes Raise 2025 Growth Forecast to 0.2%

Revised Economic Growth Forecast for Germany

By Klaus Lauer and Holger Hansen

Previous Forecasts and Changes

BERLIN (Reuters) -Five leading German economic institutes have nudged their 2025 growth forecast for Europe's largest economy up to 0.2% and predicted further rises of 1.3% next year and 1.4% in 2027, sources familiar with the matter told Reuters on Tuesday.

Impact of Tariffs on Growth

The institutes had predicted 0.1% growth this year and 1.3% next year in their previous April forecast, in which they had not yet given an indication for 2027.

Government's Economic Predictions

Those prior forecasts had factored in initial U.S. tariffs on steel, aluminium and cars, but not the 15% tariff on other goods.

Export-dependent Germany is the only G7 economy that has contracted for the last two years and U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs will deal a major blow to Europe's biggest economy.

The economy ministry incorporates the combined estimates from the institutes into its own predictions.

The last government forecasts, published in April, foresee stagnation for this year and 1.0% growth for 2026.

(Reporting by Klaus Lauer and Holger Hansen, Writing by Miranda Murray, Editing by Rachel More)

Key Takeaways

  • German economic institutes increase 2025 growth forecast to 0.2%.
  • Predictions include 1.3% growth in 2026 and 1.4% in 2027.
  • Tariffs by the U.S. impact Germany's export-driven economy.
  • Germany is the only G7 economy with contraction over the last two years.
  • Government forecasts stagnation for 2025, with 1.0% growth in 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is economic growth?
Economic growth refers to an increase in the production of goods and services in an economy over time, typically measured as the percentage increase in real GDP.
What are financial markets?
Financial markets are platforms where buyers and sellers engage in trading financial assets such as stocks, bonds, currencies, and derivatives, facilitating capital flow and investment.
What is an international financial institution?
International financial institutions are organizations that provide financial and technical assistance to countries for development projects, economic stability, and poverty reduction, such as the World Bank and IMF.
What are economic benefits?
Economic benefits refer to the positive impacts on an economy, such as increased employment, higher income levels, and improved living standards resulting from growth and development initiatives.

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