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Downturn in German manufacturing eases in January, PMI shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on February 3, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 26, 2026

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Chart showing easing downturn in German manufacturing PMI for January 2023 - Global Banking & Finance Review
Graphical representation of the HCOB Germany Manufacturing PMI showing an increase to 45.0 in January 2023, indicating an easing downturn in the sector amid economic challenges.
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BERLIN (Reuters) - The decline in Germany's manufacturing sector eased in January, helped by the slowest fall in both output and new orders in months, a survey showed on Monday. The HCOB Germany

Downturn in German manufacturing eases in January, PMI shows

BERLIN (Reuters) - The decline in Germany's manufacturing sector eased in January, helped by the slowest fall in both output and new orders in months, a survey showed on Monday.

The HCOB Germany Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), compiled by S&P Global, rose to 45.0 in January from 42.5 in December, marking the highest reading since May last year.

The final reading is nearly a point higher than the preliminary figure of 44.1, but remains firmly below the 50-point mark that separates growth from contraction.

Germany is holding elections on Feb. 23 after the coalition government collapsed late last year, in part due to a dispute over how best to revive Europe's largest economy.

Production contracted at the slowest rate in eight months, while new orders saw the least marked fall since last May, the survey showed. Export sales also declined, reflecting challenges in foreign markets, but at a slower pace.

German manufacturers continued to cut jobs, extending the current period of workforce reduction to 19 months. The pace of job losses, however, was the slowest since August.

Business expectations improved significantly, reaching their highest level since February 2022.

"In a genuinely positive sign, companies are looking to the future with much more confidence," said Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank AG.

"Some companies justify this optimism with the prospect of lower interest rates and hopes that the economy will pick up after the parliamentary elections with a new government."

However, de la Rubia said January's survey was not enough to signal that a sustainable recovery is underway.

"Fear of U.S. tariffs, snap elections and rising insolvencies are not exactly the recipe to end the recession in the manufacturing sector," he added.

(Writing by Miranda Murray; Editing by Christina Fincher)

Key Takeaways

  • German manufacturing sector's decline slowed in January.
  • PMI rose to 45.0, highest since May last year.
  • Job losses continued but at a slower pace.
  • Business expectations improved significantly.
  • Challenges remain with U.S. tariffs and insolvencies.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the PMI indicate about German manufacturing in January?
The HCOB Germany Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 45.0 in January from 42.5 in December, indicating an easing decline in the manufacturing sector.
How are job losses affecting German manufacturers?
German manufacturers continued to cut jobs, extending the workforce reduction to 19 months, although the pace of job losses was the slowest since August.
What factors are influencing business expectations in Germany?
Business expectations improved significantly, with companies expressing more confidence due to prospects of lower interest rates and hopes for economic recovery after the upcoming elections.
What challenges does the manufacturing sector still face?
Despite some positive signs, challenges such as fear of U.S. tariffs, snap elections, and rising insolvencies continue to pose risks to ending the recession in the manufacturing sector.
What was the trend in new orders for German manufacturers?
New orders saw the least marked fall since last May, suggesting a potential stabilization in demand within the manufacturing sector.

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