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Oil falls as OPEC+ plans to further increase output

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 30, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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Oil falls as OPEC+ plans to further increase output
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Oil Prices Decline as OPEC+ Plans Further Production Increase

Impact of OPEC+ Production Decisions

By Anjana Anil

Current Oil Price Trends

(Reuters) -Oil prices fell on Tuesday as another anticipated production increase by OPEC+ and the resumption of oil exports from Iraq's Kurdistan region via Turkey reinforced the outlook for a looming supply surplus.

Resumption of Iraqi Oil Exports

Brent crude futures for November delivery, expiring on Tuesday, fell 47 cents, or 0.69%, to $67.50 a barrel by 0012 GMT. The more active contract for December was down 43 cents, or 0.64%, at $66.66 per barrel.

Market Reactions and Analyst Insights

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was trading at $63.05 a barrel, down 40 cents, or 0.63%.

The drops extend Monday's drop when both Brent and WTI settled more than 3% lower after logging their sharpest daily declines since August 1, 2025.

Oil's falls came as Iraq's Kurdistan region resumed crude oil exports over the weekend and amid reports that OPEC+ is likely to approve an increase in production for November at its meeting this weekend, IG analyst Tony Sycamore wrote in a note to clients.

In a meeting scheduled for Sunday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, together known as OPEC+, will likely approve another oil production increase of at least 137,000 barrels per day, three sources familiar with the talks said.

"Although (OPEC+ is) under their quota anyway, the market still does not seem to like the fact that more oil is coming in," Marex analyst Ed Meir said.

Meanwhile, crude oil flowed on Saturday through a pipeline from the semi-autonomous Kurdistan region in northern Iraq to Turkey for the first time in 2-1/2 years, after an interim deal broke a deadlock, Iraq's oil ministry said.

The market has remained cautious in recent weeks, balancing supply risks, mainly arising from Ukraine's drone attacks on Russian refineries, with concerns of oversupply and weak demand.

Elsewhere, U.S. President Donald Trump won Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's support for a U.S.-backed Gaza peace proposal, but Hamas's stance remained uncertain.

(Reporting by Anjana Anil in Bengaluru; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)

Key Takeaways

  • OPEC+ plans to increase oil production in November.
  • Brent crude futures fell to $67.50 a barrel.
  • Iraq's Kurdistan region resumed oil exports to Turkey.
  • Market cautious due to supply risks and weak demand.
  • Analysts predict further price fluctuations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is OPEC+?
OPEC+ is a coalition of oil-producing countries that includes members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other oil-producing nations, such as Russia, that collaborate to manage oil production and stabilize prices.
What are crude oil exports?
Crude oil exports refer to the selling and transportation of unrefined oil from one country to another, which can impact global oil prices and supply dynamics.
What is Brent crude oil?
Brent crude oil is a major trading classification of crude oil originating from the North Sea, used as a benchmark for pricing oil globally.
What is West Texas Intermediate (WTI)?
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is a grade of crude oil used as a benchmark in oil pricing, primarily produced in the United States.

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