Finance

UK to have third-strongest G7 growth in 2025, IMF forecasts

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on January 17, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 27, 2026

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Graph illustrating UK economic growth forecast for 2025 - Global Banking & Finance Review
This image features a graph showing the IMF's 2025 growth forecast for the UK, ranking it third among G7 economies. It illustrates the positive outlook for the UK economy and highlights key figures relevant to finance and economic growth.
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By Suban Abdulla LONDON (Reuters) - Britain is set to have the fastest growth among major European economies this year, according to the International Monetary Fund, a boost to finance minister Rachel

IMF Predicts UK as Third-Strongest G7 Economy by 2025

By Suban Abdulla

LONDON (Reuters) - Britain is set to have the fastest growth among major European economies this year, according to the International Monetary Fund, a boost to finance minister Rachel Reeves who is under pressure over a slowdown since her party came to power in July.

The IMF on Friday raised its forecast for British growth for 2025 by 0.1 percentage points to 1.6%, making it the third-strongest among the Group of Seven advanced economies after the United States and Canada. 

The IMF outlook for British gross domestic product growth in 2026 remained at 1.5%, again third-fastest in the G7 and unchanged from its October estimate. 

Responding to the upgrade for 2025, Reeves said she would "go further and faster" to deliver economic growth.

BOE-BANKS-e57d1808-2900-42bd-832f-d8f2baa8f262>The Bank of England forecast growth of 1.5% in 2025, partly reflecting a short-term boost to the economy from a temporary increase in public spending announced by Reeves on Oct. 30.

Last month, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development also raised its forecast for British economic growth to 1.7% from 1.2% previously.

However, Reeves' spending plans are based on forecasts from the government's Office for Budget Responsibility which pencilled in growth of 2% for 2025 and 1.8% for 2026.

British government 30-year borrowing costs hit their highest since 1998 on Monday - the biggest losers in a global bond selloff driven by concerns about higher inflation and borrowing under the imminent presidency of Donald Trump.

But British bond prices recovered later in the week after weaker-than-expected British and U.S. inflation data and slower-than-expected GDP growth in November, the first month after Reeves set out her budget plan.

Reeves - whose future has been questioned by opposition lawmakers - doubled down on her budget decisions on Friday, saying they had been made in the national interest to put public finances back on "a firm footing".     

Britain's economy stagnated in the third quarter of 2024 when uncertainty about the Labour government's budget hit companies and the BoE estimates there was zero growth in the final quarter of 2024 too.

(Editing by David Milliken and Toby Chopra)

Key Takeaways

  • IMF forecasts UK as third-strongest G7 economy in 2025.
  • UK growth forecast increased to 1.6% for 2025.
  • Finance Minister Rachel Reeves aims for faster growth.
  • OECD also raised UK's growth forecast to 1.7%.
  • UK bond market affected by global economic concerns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main topic?
The article discusses the IMF's forecast for the UK's economic growth in 2025, predicting it to be the third-strongest among G7 nations.
How does the IMF forecast affect the UK?
The IMF's positive forecast boosts confidence in the UK's economic prospects and supports Finance Minister Rachel Reeves' growth plans.
What are the implications for the UK bond market?
UK bond prices were initially affected by global economic concerns but later recovered due to weaker-than-expected inflation data.

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