Finance

Irish central bank governor warns government against over-stimulating economy

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 3, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 22, 2026

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Irish central bank governor warns government against over-stimulating economy
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Irish Central Bank Chief Cautions Against Excessive Economic Stimulus

Concerns Over Economic Stimulus

DUBLIN (Reuters) -The governor of the Irish central bank has warned the government against over-stimulating the economy in its annual budget in October, saying the country was at risk of being in the "wrong place," in terms of spending.

Governor's Warning

Gabriel Makhlouf was speaking two weeks after the government published its pre-budget plans, in which it said it would allow day-to-day spending to increase by 6.4%, down from the 8-9% range in recent budgets.

Government's Budget Plans

"For an economy operating at full employment, we're adding more stimulus to the economy than it needs – and I would look again at what we're planning to do," Makhlouf told the Business Post Newspaper in an interview published on Sunday.

Impact of U.S. Tariffs

"I think at the moment there's a risk that we're in the wrong place," Makhlouf said.

The government said that it would trim next year's planned 9.4 billion euro package of tax cuts and spending increases, if U.S. tariffs are higher than the 10% in place at the time of the announcement.

Days after the government released the budget plans in its Summer Economic Statement, the U.S. struck a framework trade agreement with the European Union, imposing a 15% import tariff on most EU goods.

"Hopefully, the Summer Economic Statement is not the budget, and hopefully, by the time he gets there, he will have reflected again on what the trade situation is telling us," Makhlouf said.

(Writing by Conor Humphries; Editing by Toby Chopra)

Key Takeaways

  • The Irish central bank warns against excessive economic stimulus.
  • Governor Gabriel Makhlouf advises caution in budget planning.
  • Current spending plans may over-stimulate a full employment economy.
  • Potential U.S. tariffs impact on Ireland's budget plans.
  • Government considers adjusting budget based on trade developments.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did the Irish central bank governor warn about?
Gabriel Makhlouf warned the government against over-stimulating the economy in its upcoming budget, suggesting that the country might be adding more stimulus than necessary.
What changes did the government propose for next year's budget?
The government plans to reduce next year's budget package of tax cuts and spending increases, contingent on the level of U.S. tariffs.
What is the current economic situation in Ireland according to Makhlouf?
Makhlouf indicated that the economy is operating at full employment, which raises concerns about the appropriateness of additional stimulus measures.
How did recent trade agreements affect Ireland's economic outlook?
Following the U.S. trade agreement with the EU, which imposed higher tariffs, there is uncertainty about the economic implications for Ireland's budget plans.
What did Makhlouf hope for regarding the Summer Economic Statement?
Makhlouf expressed hope that the Summer Economic Statement would not be the final budget and that the government would reconsider its plans based on evolving trade conditions.

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