Finance

EU funds bolster Poland's economy, as export market weighs, central bank says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 26, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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EU funds bolster Poland's economy, as export market weighs, central bank says
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WARSAW (Reuters) -Poland's economic output has been bolstered by investment from European Union funds that is expected to continue next year, the central bank said on Friday, but added that economic

EU Investments Strengthen Poland's Economy Amid Export Challenges

WARSAW (Reuters) -Poland's economic output has been bolstered by investment from European Union funds that is expected to continue next year, the central bank said on Friday, but added that economic activity was expected to slow into 2026.

"Forecasts indicate that GDP growth in the second half of 2025 will remain at a level similar to the first half," the National Bank of Poland said.

After that, it said, activity could slow and that a major uncertainty was "the further course of Russian armed aggression against Ukraine".

Weak foreign demand due to stagnation in Germany had limited Polish economic growth, and the contribution of net exports to GDP was negative in the first half of 2025.

The bank said downside risks depended on the extent to which European Union funds continued to be used and the demand outlook.

It also said that forecasts showed annual average consumer price inflation, as well as core inflation, would fall next year.

Saying fiscal policy was the main tool to mitigate the impact of any shocks on the economy, the central bank said the shape of 2026 fiscal policy was a significant uncertainty.

(Reporting by Pawel Florkiewicz, Anna Wlodarczak-Semczuk and Karol Badohal; editing by Barbara Lewis)

Key Takeaways

  • EU funds are bolstering Poland's economic output.
  • Polish GDP growth is expected to slow by 2026.
  • Stagnation in Germany affects Polish exports negatively.
  • Inflation rates are predicted to fall next year.
  • Fiscal policy remains a key tool for economic stability.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is Poland's economy currently performing?
Poland's economic output has been bolstered by investment from European Union funds, which are expected to continue next year. However, weak foreign demand has limited growth.
What are the forecasts for Poland's GDP growth?
The National Bank of Poland forecasts that GDP growth in the second half of 2025 will remain at a level similar to the first half, but activity could slow afterward.
What factors are affecting Poland's economic growth?
Weak foreign demand, particularly due to stagnation in Germany, has limited Polish economic growth, leading to a negative contribution of net exports to GDP in the first half of 2025.
What is the outlook for inflation in Poland?
Forecasts indicate that annual average consumer price inflation, as well as core inflation, is expected to fall next year.
What role does fiscal policy play in Poland's economy?
The central bank stated that fiscal policy is the main tool to mitigate the impact of any economic shocks, with uncertainties surrounding the shape of 2026 fiscal policy.

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