Finance

Trump's tariffs spur economic uncertainty, impact on inflation less clear, ECB's de Guindos says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on February 10, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 26, 2026

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Economic uncertainty from Trump's tariffs on steel and aluminum impacting global finance - Global Banking & Finance Review
This image illustrates the economic uncertainty stemming from Trump's tariffs on steel and aluminum, as discussed by ECB's Luis de Guindos. It highlights the potential impacts on inflation and global trade.
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Trump's Tariffs Cause Economic Uncertainty, ECB Weighs In

MADRID (Reuters) - Trade tariffs announced by U.S. President Donald Trump could trigger economic uncertainty but the impact on inflation is less clear, European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said on Monday.

Trump's plan for 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports into the United States, on top of existing metals duties, represents another major trade escalation.

"Today we woke up to the issue of steel and aluminium," de Guindos told Spanish broadcaster TVE. "Apart from the geopolitical risks, I think that the policy of the new American administration obviously creates a situation of huge uncertainty."

The ECB's number two official said that the implementation of tariffs would create a "supply shock" therefore "fundamentally" affecting global economic growth.

"The impact on inflation is much less clear (...) because if you have a fall in economic activity then immediately that tempers the evolution of the inflationary tensions," de Guindos said.

De Guindos said it was important to avoid a trade war, adding that Europeans needed to be careful in their response to potential U.S. trade tariffs.

"Sometimes the initial announcements don't end up materialising (..) therefore, you have to take a prudent and intelligent approach," he said.

De Guindos said that inflation in the euro zone was converging towards the ECB's medium goal of 2% and that decisions on the bank's future monetary policy would be taken meeting by meeting.

(Reporting by Jesús Aguado and Emma Pinedo; editing by Inti Landauro and Kate Mayberry)

Key Takeaways

  • Trump's tariffs may cause economic uncertainty.
  • Impact on inflation remains unclear, says ECB's de Guindos.
  • Tariffs could lead to a global supply shock.
  • Avoiding a trade war is essential for stability.
  • Eurozone inflation is nearing ECB's 2% goal.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main topic?
The main topic is the economic uncertainty caused by Trump's tariffs and their unclear impact on inflation.
How might tariffs affect the economy?
Tariffs could create a supply shock, affecting global economic growth and potentially leading to a trade war.
What does ECB's de Guindos say about inflation?
De Guindos notes that the impact on inflation is unclear, as reduced economic activity may temper inflationary pressures.

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