Finance

UK pay awards hold at lowest in nearly four years, IDR survey shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on November 5, 2025

2 min read

· Last updated: January 21, 2026

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UK pay awards hold at lowest in nearly four years, IDR survey shows
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LONDON (Reuters) -Pay settlements awarded by British employers held steady in the three months to September, according to a survey published a day before the Bank of England's interest rates decision.

UK Pay Settlements Remain at Lowest Levels in Nearly Four Years

Overview of UK Pay Settlements

LONDON (Reuters) -Pay settlements awarded by British employers held steady in the three months to September, according to a survey published a day before the Bank of England's interest rates decision.

Current Pay Trends

Incomes Data Research said on Wednesday that the median pay rise awarded by major employers was 3% in the July to September period, holding at the joint lowest level since December 2021.

Sector Comparisons

But the IDR said more than a third of pay settlements increased to 4% in the three months to September. It attributed the rise to a bigger proportion of pay rises in the manufacturing and the public sectors.

Inflation and Economic Impact

Median pay awards for the public sector averaged 4%.

"The differing outcomes in the private and public sectors suggest the public sector is currently in the 'catching-up' phase, after a lengthy period in which pay awards lagged behind those in the private sector," Zoe Woolacott, a senior researcher at IDR, said.

Official figures showed a slowdown in British pay growth in the three months to August while inflation held steady at 3.8% in September, despite the BoE expecting a rise to 4%.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey has said the figures backed his view that inflation pressures in the economy were easing.

The central bank, which is closely monitoring wage growth, is likely to keep interest rates at 4% on Thursday. It expects private-sector pay growth of 3.75% by the end of this year.

A survey published last week also showed employers, concerned about the impact of high inflation and last year's rise in social security contributions implemented by finance minister Rachel Reeves, were planning pay awards of 3%. She is due to present the government's annual budget on November 26, which is widely expected to include further tax rises.

IDR's survey covered 35 pay deals for nearly 800,000 employees between July 1 and September 30.

(Reporting by Suban Abdulla; Editing by Muvija M)

Key Takeaways

  • UK pay settlements held at 3% in the July to September period.
  • More than a third of settlements rose to 4%, driven by manufacturing and public sectors.
  • Public sector pay awards averaged 4%, indicating a catch-up phase.
  • Inflation remained at 3.8% in September, affecting pay growth.
  • The Bank of England is expected to maintain interest rates at 4%.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is inflation?
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power.
What is median pay growth?
Median pay growth refers to the middle value of pay increases across a group, indicating typical wage changes.
What is the role of the Bank of England?
The Bank of England is the central bank of the UK, responsible for monetary policy, including setting interest rates.

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