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EU policymakers expect no immediate oil security impact from Iran conflict, email shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 2, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: April 2, 2026

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EU policymakers expect no immediate oil security impact from Iran conflict, email shows
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By Kate Abnett BRUSSELS, March 2 (Reuters) - The European Commission does not expect the widening conflict in the Middle East to have any immediate impact on the European Union's security of oil

EU calls gas supply group meeting in response to Iran conflict

EU Response and Energy Market Impact

By Kate Abnett

EU Gas Supply Coordination Efforts

BRUSSELS, March 2 (Reuters) - The European Union's gas supply coordination group will meet on Wednesday to discuss the impact of the expanding conflict in the Middle East, a European Commission spokesperson told Reuters after European gas prices leapt by more than 50%.

The gas coordination group includes representatives from EU governments, monitors gas storage and security of supply, and coordinates response measures during crises.

Oil Coordination and Security Assessments

The EU's oil coordination group will also meet within 48 hours. Earlier on Monday, a spokesperson said the Commission expects no immediate EU oil supply impact from the escalation of the U.S.-Israeli air war on Iran, but has asked governments to share their assessments of the security of oil supplies by the end of the day.

Strait of Hormuz Disruption and Gas Price Surge

Market Reactions

STRAIT OF HORMUZ DISRUPTION DRIVES GAS PRICE SURGE

After the conflict led to the disruption of energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, the benchmark European gas price, the front-month contract at the Dutch TTF gas hub increased on Monday by more than 50% by 1341 GMT at 48.66 euros/MWh, on the Intercontinental Exchange.

Importance of the Strait of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz is a conduit for more than 20% of global oil and around 20% of the world’s liquefied natural gas.

Europe’s LNG Imports and Storage

Europe has increased imports of LNG as it seeks to phase out Russian gas following Russia’s 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

The U.S. supplied 58% of EU LNG last year. The bloc also sources smaller amounts from countries in the Middle East.

The EU imported 6% of its LNG from Qatar in the third quarter of 2025, the latest EU data show. Qatar halted LNG production on Monday as the conflict prompted precautionary shutdowns of oil and gas facilities across the region.    

Gas Storage Levels and Outlook

Europe is emerging from its winter heating season, when gas demand typically peaks. At 30% full, EU gas storage sites are 9% below filling levels this time last year, data from Gas Infrastructure Europe showed.

The European Commission said on Monday that EU gas storage levels are adequate to ensure storage can be replenished ahead of next winter.

Reporting and Editorial Credits

(Reporting by Kate Abnett; additional reporting by Susanna Twidale; editing by Bart Meijer and Barbara Lewis)

Key Takeaways

  • EU Commission assesses no immediate oil security risk, but is monitoring closely and has requested member states’ assessments.
  • Oil prices surged roughly 9% as Iran’s retaliatory actions disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a major global energy chokepoint where about 20% of global oil passes.
  • EU considering convening its oil coordination group to manage potential supply risks while analysts warn that prolonged disruption could sustain elevated prices.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Does the European Commission expect immediate oil supply issues from the Iran conflict?
No, the Commission does not expect any immediate security of oil supply impact due to the conflict.
What caused recent oil price increases in the EU?
Oil prices rose by 9% after shipping in the Strait of Hormuz was disrupted following Iranian retaliatory attacks.
How is the EU responding to potential oil supply disruptions?
The Commission is gathering assessments from EU governments and considering a virtual meeting of the oil coordination group.
Why is the Strait of Hormuz important for oil supply?
It is a key conduit for over 20% of global oil flows, making disruptions there significant for global oil prices.
Will EU oil prices remain elevated in the near future?
Analysts expect oil prices to stay high as the situation and potential supply disruptions are monitored.

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