Finance

Euro zone consumers cut some inflation expectations, ECB survey shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on February 27, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: April 2, 2026

Add as preferred source on Google
Euro zone consumers cut some inflation expectations, ECB survey shows
Global Banking & Finance Awards 2026 — Call for Entries

FRANKFURT, Feb 27 (Reuters) - Euro zone consumers trimmed back some of their inflation expectations last month, even as bets on income growth rose, the European Central Bank's monthly Consumer

Euro Zone Inflation Expectations Adjust as Income Forecasts Rise

FRANKFURT, Feb 27 (Reuters) - Euro zone consumers trimmed back some of their inflation expectations last month, even as bets on income growth rose, the European Central Bank's monthly Consumer Expectations Survey showed on Friday.

Euro zone inflation stayed around the ECB's 2% target for most of 2025 but dipped below it last month and is likely to remain at relatively low levels all this year as energy costs have fallen and imports, particularly from China, remain cheap.

Consumer Inflation and Income Expectations

Consumers surveyed by the ECB in January saw inflation in the year ahead at 2.6%, below the 2.8% predicted in December, while price growth expectations five years out were lowered to 2.3% from 2.4%.

For three years ahead, expectations were unchanged at 2.6%, the survey of 19,000 adults in 11 euro zone countries showed.

With inflation largely tamed, the ECB has not even debated a policy change for months and, if anything, some policymakers fear that inflation will be too low in the years ahead rather than too high.

ECB's Policy Stance on Inflation

The survey showed income growth expectations rose slightly, to 1.2% from 1.1%, and economic growth expectations were unchanged, suggesting that consumers believe in the currency bloc's continued resilience.

Economic Growth and Market Adaptation

Overall economic growth has been better in recent quarters than many had expected as firms appear to be adjusting well to the volatility stoked by the quickly shifting nature of the Trump administration's tariff regime in the United States.

(Reporting by Balazs KoranyiEditing by Gareth Jones)

Key Takeaways

  • Euro‑zone consumers lowered their one‑year inflation expectations to 2.6% in January from 2.8% in December.
  • Five‑year inflation expectations eased to 2.3%, while three‑year expectations held steady at 2.6%.
  • Income growth expectations rose slightly to 1.2%, and economic growth expectations remained unchanged (negative).
  • Actual inflation dipped below the ECB’s 2% target in January, easing price pressure concerns.
  • With inflation contained, the ECB has not debated policy changes and faces risk of too‑low inflation ahead.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did short‑term inflation expectations change?
They fell from 2.8% in December to 2.6% in January according to the ECB survey.
What about longer‑term inflation expectations?
Three‑year expectations held at 2.6%, while five‑year expectations eased from 2.4% to 2.3%.
Did income growth expectations change?
Yes, they rose slightly to 1.2% in January from 1.1% in December.
What is the implication for ECB policy?
With inflation easing below the 2% target and expectations moderating, the ECB has not debated policy changes and may worry about too‑low inflation ahead.

Tags

Related Articles

More from Finance

Explore more articles in the Finance category