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German firms were growing gloomier on foreign business ahead of Iran war, DIHK says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 24, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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German firms were growing gloomier on foreign business ahead of Iran war, DIHK says
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BERLIN, March 24 (Reuters) - German companies said before the start of the Iran war that they were growing more pessimistic about their business overseas amid rising trade barriers and mounting

German firms' pessimism deepened even before the Iran war, survey finds

By Maria Martinez

German Companies Face Rising Challenges Amid Geopolitical Tensions

BERLIN, March 24 (Reuters) - Even before the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran began, German companies had grown more pessimistic about their business overseas because of trade barriers and mounting geopolitical risks, the German Chamber of Industry and Commerce, or DIHK, said on Tuesday.

Impact of the Iran Conflict on Business Sentiment

As the inflationary impact of the conflict, now in its fourth week, adds to the pressures, Volker Treier, DIHK head of foreign trade, said companies had no choice but to try to find new markets.

"Diversification is no longer a strategic option - it is a necessity," Treier said. "Companies that broaden their markets become more resilient to political risks."

Slowdown in Private Sector Growth

Also on Tuesday, the Purchasing Managers Index showed Germany's private sector growth slowed to its weakest pace in three months in March as services lost momentum and the Middle East conflict drove freight and energy costs higher.

Trade Barriers and International Operations

Survey Methodology and Key Findings

BARRIERS HURT INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS

The survey published on Tuesday was compiled between February 2 and 13.

Some 69% of firms the DIHK surveyed said trade barriers had damaged the profitability of their international operations, up 11 percentage points from a year earlier and the highest level since the organisation began collecting the data in 2005.

They were mostly pessimistic about the outlook, with 21% of companies expecting their business to deteriorate, compared with 16% anticipating an improvement.

Tariffs and Market-Specific Challenges

Tariffs were felt most sharply in the U.S. market. 86% of German firms active there reported being affected, DIHK said. Expectations for the year ahead had fallen to a record low.

"The United States is becoming a risk factor," Treier said. "High tariffs, political volatility and legal uncertainty are making long-term planning increasingly difficult."

Non-Tariff Barriers and Regulatory Pressures

In addition, companies said they were also affected by non-tariff trade barriers.

Some 51% cited local certification requirements, 37% pointed to tighter safety standards and 35% flagged export controls.

Export controls particularly affect business with the U.S. and China. Within the European Union, companies pointed to reporting obligations, packaging rules and climate-related regulations.

"Our companies are under double pressure," Treier said. "While new barriers are emerging around the world, we in Europe are tightening regulation even further. That further weakens our companies in international competition."

Seeking New Opportunities

As a result, many firms are seeking new markets. The planned EU-India agreement and the signed EU-Mercosur agreement are raising hopes for new momentum.

(Reporting by Maria Martinez; Editing by Hugh Lawson and Barbara Lewis)

Key Takeaways

  • 69% of German firms in early February said new trade barriers were hurting their international operations—an 11‑point increase from a year earlier and the highest since data collection began in 2005.
  • 21% expected their business to deteriorate, up from 16% a year before, indicating a markedly subdued outlook for foreign operations.
  • 86% of firms active in the U.S. market reported being affected by tariffs; Volker Treier warned that the U.S. is becoming a risk factor amid volatile policies and mounting legal uncertainty.
  • DIHK cautioned that the onset of the Iran war would likely exacerbate conditions by increasing container shipping and air freight costs, further straining global trade.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors caused German firms to grow more pessimistic about foreign business?
Rising trade barriers and mounting geopolitical risks led to increased pessimism among German companies regarding their overseas business.
How have tariffs affected German firms in the US market?
Tariffs had a significant impact, with 86% of German firms with US operations reporting negative effects.
What additional challenges did DIHK predict after the Iran war began?
DIHK predicted the conflict would worsen business conditions by increasing shipping and air freight costs.
How many German companies did DIHK survey about foreign business conditions?
DIHK surveyed 2,400 German companies with operations abroad in the first half of February.
How did the business outlook change compared to the previous year?
69% of firms reported new trade barriers were hurting them, up 11 percentage points and the highest since 2005.

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