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German private sector growth slows to 3-month low, PMI shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on March 24, 2026

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· Last updated: April 1, 2026

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German private sector growth slows to 3-month low, PMI shows
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By Maria Martinez BERLIN, March 24 (Reuters) - Germany's private sector growth slowed to its weakest pace in three months in March as services lost momentum and costs surged amid the conflict in the

German Private Sector Growth Falls to 3-Month Low as Costs Surge in March

Overview of March Economic Performance

By Maria Martinez

BERLIN, March 24 (Reuters) - Germany's private sector growth slowed to its weakest pace in three months in March as services lost momentum and costs surged amid the conflict in the Middle East.

Key PMI Figures and Economic Indicators

The Flash Germany Composite PMI, a preliminary estimate, fell to 51.9 in March from 53.2 in February, a survey by S&P Global showed. Economists polled by Reuters expected a reading of 52.0.

The 50 mark separates growth from contraction.

Expert Commentary on Market Trends

"March's flash data show the first impacts of the war in the Middle East on growth, demand, business confidence and, perhaps most notably, prices," said Phil Smith at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Sector-Specific Performance

Services and Manufacturing Trends

Services activity slowed to a seven-month low of 51.2, while the manufacturing PMI climbed to 51.7, a 45-month high.

Manufacturers posted a third straight monthly rise in new orders, with growth the fastest in four years. 

Impact of Middle East Conflict on Demand

Reports from goods producers indicate that demand has in some cases been boosted by companies reacting to the disruption and uncertainty brought on by the war in the Middle East, with some bringing forward purchases over concerns about potential supply disruption in the coming months, Smith said. 

"Output expectations have been revised down, which is a sign that the surge in factory activity will likely be short-lived," he added.

Inflation and Employment Trends

Input price inflation across the private sector surged to its highest in more than three years. Manufacturing input costs rose at the fastest rate since October 2022, while factory gate price inflation hit a more than three-year high.

Employment fell again across both sectors, although the overall pace of job losses eased to a three-month low.

Business Outlook

Business expectations for the year ahead dropped to an 11-month low but remained in positive territory, the survey showed.

(Reporting by Maria Martinez)

Key Takeaways

  • Flash Composite PMI fell to 51.9 in March, below February’s 53.2 and Reuters’ 52.0 forecast (investing.com)
  • Services PMI dropped to a seven‑month low (51.2), while manufacturing PMI rose to a 45‑month high (51.7), driven by front‑loading of orders amid geopolitical uncertainty (investing.com)
  • Input‑cost inflation surged to a more than three‑year high across the private sector; employment continues to contract, although job‑loss pace eased, and business expectations fell to an 11‑month low (investing.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the German Composite PMI in March 2024?
The Flash Germany Composite PMI fell to 51.9 in March 2024 from 53.2 in February.
What caused the slowdown in Germany's private sector growth?
Growth slowed due to weaker services activity and increased costs amid the conflict in the Middle East.
How did the manufacturing sector perform in March 2024?
German manufacturing PMI rose to 51.7, the highest in 45 months, with new orders growing at a four-year high.
What trends were observed in employment across Germany’s private sector?
Employment fell across both services and manufacturing, but the pace of job losses eased to a three-month low.
How did input prices and inflation affect the German private sector?
Input price inflation surged to its highest in over three years, with manufacturing costs rising fastest since October 2022.

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